Malaga vs Barcelona Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 16

13 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Barcelona

Away

AI call Difficult Barcelona win or draw

17%

23%

60%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Malaga vs Barcelona prediction: Sportiko gives Malaga a 17% chance of winning, Barcelona 60% and the draw 23%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 10.7%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

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Malaga

LLDDL

Barcelona

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings Malaga · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Malaga faces Barcelona, showcasing a significant contrast in form and caliber. Barcelona, traditionally a powerhouse, boasts a high possession rate and a strong attacking lineup, averaging over 2.5 goals per match this season. Conversely, Malaga has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, which could be exploited by Barcelona's dynamic forwards. Key players to watch include Barcelona's top scorer, who has been in exceptional form, and Malaga's defense, which will need to tighten up to avoid being overwhelmed. This match will be crucial for both teams, with Barcelona aiming to secure crucial points in the title race.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Barcelona goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	8	9	7	4	2
1	3	11	10	7	4	2
2	2	5	5	4	2	1
3	1	2	2	1	1
4			1
5

↑ Malaga goals · most likely 1–1 (10.7%)

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Players in form

Malaga

No scorer data.

Barcelona

Raphinha 12 gls

Lamine Yamal 7 gls

Fermín 4 gls

K. Adeyemi 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

60%

Draw

23%

Home Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

60%

Draw

23%

Home Win

17%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

77% Away (No Draw) 23% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Away Scores More 23% Equal Goals 17% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

22%

23%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.3%	7.5%	9.4%	6.7%	3.6%
1	3.2%	10.7%	10.1%	7.2%	3.9%
2	2.4%	5.1%	5.5%	3.9%	2.1%
3	0.9%	1.8%	2.0%	1.4%	0.8%
4	0.2%	0.5%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Malaga	Draw	Barcelona
Malaga	9.8%	4.0%	3.2%
Draw	6.6%	13.3%	18.9%
Barcelona	1.3%	3.8%	39.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

38%

1.5

62%

65%

2.5

35%

85%

3.5

15%

Away Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

20%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Malaga vs Barcelona

1 Malaga Wins

0 Draws

2 Barcelona Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 Mar 2018	Malaga	0 - 2	Barcelona
21 Oct 2017	Barcelona	2 - 0	Malaga
08 Apr 2017	Malaga	2 - 0	Barcelona

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Malaga — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Getafe	L	1 - 0
17 Sep	H Villarreal	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Celta Vigo	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Levante	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 0

Barcelona — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sevilla	W	1 - 3
16 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	7 - 2
13 Sep	A Levante	W	2 - 4
09 Sep	H Feyenoord	W	5 - 1
06 Sep	A Valencia	W	0 - 5

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.