Elche vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 14

29 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Atletico Madrid

Away

AI call Atletico Madrid or draw

31%

29%

40%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Elche vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Sportiko gives Elche a 31% chance of winning, Atletico Madrid 40% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Elche

WLDLL

Atletico Madrid

WWWLL

Last 3 meetings Elche · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In this La Liga clash, Elche will face Atletico Madrid, who are known for their strong defensive organization and counter-attacking prowess. Atletico has maintained a solid average possession rate of around 55% this season, allowing them to control the tempo of matches. Conversely, Elche has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. The key matchup will likely be Atletico's disciplined defense against Elche's attacking efforts, which have been inconsistent. Expect Atletico to leverage their experience and tactical discipline to secure a crucial away victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

31%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

40%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atletico Madrid goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	8	7	3	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Elche goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Players in form

Elche

Fer Niño 5 gls

Atletico Madrid

Álex Baena 4 gls

J. David 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

31%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

31%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

56% Away (No Draw) 44% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Away Scores More 31% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	7.9%	7.0%	3.4%	1.3%
1	6.6%	13.6%	8.9%	4.4%	1.6%
2	5.2%	7.7%	5.7%	2.8%	1.0%
3	2.2%	3.3%	2.4%	1.2%	0.5%
4	0.7%	1.1%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Elche	Draw	Atletico Madrid
Elche	19.9%	4.7%	2.1%
Draw	10.6%	17.4%	13.3%
Atletico Madrid	1.7%	4.5%	25.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Elche vs Atletico Madrid

2 Elche Wins

1 Draws

0 Atletico Madrid Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Apr 2026	Elche	3 - 2	Atletico Madrid
23 Aug 2025	Atletico Madrid	1 - 1	Elche
14 May 2023	Elche	1 - 0	Atletico Madrid

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Elche — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Espanyol	W	1 - 3
15 Sep	H Real Madrid	L	2 - 3
12 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Racing Santander	L	3 - 2

Atletico Madrid — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Madrid	W	2 - 1
16 Sep	H Osasuna	W	4 - 0
13 Sep	A Real Sociedad	W	0 - 3
09 Sep	A Liverpool	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Athletic Club	L	3 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.