Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 13

22 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Valencia

Away

AI call Rayo Vallecano to win or draw

66%

26%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia prediction: Sportiko gives Rayo Vallecano a 66% chance of winning, Valencia 9% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 18.9%

Both teams to score

31%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

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Rayo Vallecano

DWLWL

Valencia

LWLLL

Last 3 meetings Rayo Vallecano · 0W 3D 0L

Match summary

Rayo Vallecano faces Valencia in a La Liga clash on November 22, 2026. Rayo has demonstrated solid home form, leveraging their attacking capabilities, averaging 1.8 goals per match in their last five home games. Valencia, meanwhile, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per game in their last five outings. Both teams will look to secure crucial points, but Rayo's strong offensive play may give them the edge. Expect a competitive match with potential for goals on both sides.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

66%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Valencia goals →

	0	1	2
0	13	4	1
1	19	10	2
2	17	8	2
3	9	4	1
4	4	2
5	1	1

↑ Rayo Vallecano goals · most likely 1–0 (18.9%)

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Players in form

Rayo Vallecano

Sergio Camello 7 gls

Valencia

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

26%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

26%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

88% Home (No Draw) 12% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

38% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

66% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 9% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

23%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.3%	4.4%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
1	18.9%	10.4%	2.1%	0.3%	0.0%
2	16.7%	7.7%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%
3	9.2%	4.2%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
4	3.8%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

35%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Valencia
Rayo Vallecano	42.2%	2.5%	0.4%
Draw	23.2%	18.8%	4.2%
Valencia	1.6%	2.6%	4.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

63%

29%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

81%

0.5

19%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

78%

0.5

22%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia

0 Rayo Vallecano Wins

3 Draws

0 Valencia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 May 2026	Valencia	1 - 1	Rayo Vallecano
01 Dec 2025	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 1	Valencia
19 Apr 2025	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 1	Valencia

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Osasuna	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Espanyol	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	3 - 2
31 Aug	A Barcelona	L	5 - 2

Valencia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
15 Sep	A Alaves	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	A Sevilla	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Barcelona	L	0 - 5
30 Aug	A Deportivo La Coruna	L	3 - 1

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.