Barcelona vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 13

22 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Villarreal

Away

Camp Nou, Barcelona

AI call Barcelona to win

84%

12%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Barcelona vs Villarreal prediction: Sportiko gives Barcelona a 84% chance of winning, Villarreal 4% and the draw 12%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

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Barcelona

WWWWW

Villarreal

WWLLL

Last 3 meetings Barcelona · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Barcelona faces Villarreal, with both teams looking to solidify their standings. Barcelona has demonstrated a strong offensive record, averaging 2.3 goals per match this season, while Villarreal has struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per match. Historically, Barcelona has a favorable record against Villarreal, winning 75% of their last 12 encounters. Key players to watch include Barcelona's top scorer, who has netted 8 goals this season, and Villarreal's leading playmaker, who has provided 5 assists. This match will be crucial for both teams as they aim for European qualification.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Villarreal goals →

	0	1	2
0	4	1
1	9	6	1
2	15	8	2
3	15	8	2
4	11	6	1
5	6	3	1

↑ Barcelona goals · most likely 2–0 (14.6%)

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Players in form

Barcelona

Raphinha 12 gls

Lamine Yamal 7 gls

Fermín 4 gls

K. Adeyemi 2 gls

Villarreal

P. Gueye 3 gls

Alberto Moleiro 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

84%

Draw

12%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

14%

1.5

86%

35%

2.5

65%

58%

3.5

42%

79%

4.5

21%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

84%

Draw

12%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

96% Home (No Draw) 4% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

65% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

84% Home Scores More 12% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

14%

1.5

86%

35%

2.5

65%

58%

3.5

42%

79%

4.5

21%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

21%

24%

21%

14%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.0%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
1	9.1%	5.8%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
2	14.6%	7.6%	2.0%	0.3%	0.0%
3	14.5%	7.5%	2.0%	0.3%	0.0%
4	10.8%	5.6%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

22%

31%

27%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

42%

1.5

58%

70%

2.5

30%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

16%

26%

28%

18%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Barcelona	Draw	Villarreal
Barcelona	63.3%	1.6%	0.3%
Draw	20.8%	7.1%	1.5%
Villarreal	2.1%	1.5%	1.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

71%

3.5

29%

Home Exact Goals

16%

25%

24%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

59%

31%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Barcelona vs Villarreal

2 Barcelona Wins

0 Draws

1 Villarreal Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Feb 2026	Barcelona	4 - 1	Villarreal
21 Dec 2025	Villarreal	0 - 2	Barcelona
18 May 2025	Barcelona	2 - 3	Villarreal

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Barcelona — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sevilla	W	1 - 3
16 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	7 - 2
13 Sep	A Levante	W	2 - 4
09 Sep	H Feyenoord	W	5 - 1
06 Sep	A Valencia	W	0 - 5

Villarreal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Levante	W	3 - 1
17 Sep	A Malaga	W	1 - 3
14 Sep	H Real Betis	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Borussia Dortmund	L	3 - 2
05 Sep	H Deportivo La Coruna	L	2 - 3

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.