Racing Santander vs Real Madrid Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 11

Post on X

Real Madrid

Away

Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander

AI call Real Madrid to win or draw

10%

14%

76%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Racing Santander vs Real Madrid prediction: Sportiko gives Racing Santander a 10% chance of winning, Real Madrid 76% and the draw 14%. Last updated 1 Nov 2026, 17:16.

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5 75%
Away 2H Over 0.5 72%

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Match Report

Real Madrid made light work of Racing Santander, wrapping up a commanding 3-0 victory before half-time in an emphatic La Liga away performance. Kylian Mbappé opened the scoring from the penalty spot in the 11th minute, before Jude Bellingham doubled the advantage ten minutes later. Yan Diomande added a third in the 36th minute to put the contest beyond any doubt, with all three goals arriving in a breathless first-half spell that left the hosts with an impossible task.

Racing showed some resilience in the second half, finishing with 54% possession and six corner kicks, but they rarely threatened Carlo Ancelotti's side in meaningful fashion. A VAR review in the 72nd minute saw a potential Racing penalty overturned, underlining how little fortune the home side could find on the day. Real Madrid's expected goals figure of just 0.96 against a Racing tally of 3.41 tells the story of a thoroughly one-sided contest in terms of quality created.

Our pre-match AI model had flagged a Real Madrid win as the most likely outcome at 76%, a call that proved well-founded as the visitors delivered one of the more convincing away displays of the La Liga season so far.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 11'

Kylian Mbappé Penalty

⚽ 0–2 21'

Jude Bellingham assist: Arda Güler

Alvaro Mantilla ⇄ Pedro Felipe

29' ⇄

Jeanuël Belocian Yellow Card

34' ▮

⚽ 0–3 36'

Yan Diomande

Iker Luque Yellow Card

45+1' ▮

HT 0–3

Pablo Ramón ⇄ Íñigo Sáinz-Maza

60' ⇄

Yassir Zabiri ⇄ Pablo García

61' ⇄

⇄ 67'

Arda Güler ⇄ Brahim Díaz

Iván Martín Penalty cancelled

72' 🖵

⇄ 77'

Bernardo Silva ⇄ Eduardo Camavinga

Iñigo Vicente ⇄ Giorgi Guliashvili

82' ⇄

Iván Martín ⇄ André Almeida

82' ⇄

⇄ 85'

Yan Diomande ⇄ Endrick

FT 0–3

Racing Santander

Match Stats

Real Madrid

46% Ball Possession 54%

0.96 Expected Goals (xG) 3.41

9 Total Shots 21

1 Shots on Goal 7

3 Shots off Goal 10

5 Blocked Shots 4

6 Shots insidebox 15

2 Shots outsidebox 6

4 Corner Kicks 6

0 Offsides 2

10 Fouls 8

2 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

5 Goalkeeper Saves 1

455 Total passes 526

386 Passes accurate 468

8 Free Kicks 9

Racing Santander

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
13 Julen Agirrezabala G	6.8	90'	–	–	–	20 (15%)	1
20 Sergio Canales M	6.6	90'	–	–	1	61 (55%)	1
15 Pablo García F	6.5	29'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	–
3 Aarón Martín D	6.4	90'	–	–	–	21 (18%)	–
23 Iván Martín M	6.4	82'	–	–	–	70 (64%)	–
10 Iñigo Vicente M	6.3	82'	–	–	–	60 (51%)	–
7 Giorgi Guliashvili F	6.3	8'	–	–	–	1	–
21 Yassir Zabiri F	6.2	61'	–	–	3	8 (7%)	–
6 Íñigo Sáinz-Maza M	6.2	30'	–	–	–	20 (17%)	1
18 Matteo Prati M	6.1	90'	–	–	1	42 (36%)	4
22 Pedro Felipe D	6.0	61'	–	–	–	21 (16%)	1
5 Pablo Ramón D	5.9	60'	–	–	–	45 (36%)	1
24 Jeanuël Belocian D	5.8	90'	–	–	–	29 (27%)	–
2 Alvaro Mantilla D	5.8	29'	–	–	–	17 (11%)	1
8 André Almeida M	5.7	8'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	–
19 Iker Luque M	5.5	90'	–	–	3	23 (17%)	1

Real Madrid

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
25 Yan Diomande M	8.2	85'	1	–	3	47 (38%)	2
5 Jude Bellingham M	8.2	90'	1	–	4	57 (51%)	2
4 Dean Huijsen D	7.9	90'	–	–	–	64 (58%)	2
10 Kylian Mbappé F	7.8	90'	1	–	5	34 (32%)	–
15 Arda Güler M	7.7	67'	–	1	5	40 (39%)	1
17 Marc Cucurella D	7.5	90'	–	–	–	47 (41%)	4
16 Ibrahima Konaté D	7.4	90'	–	–	–	49 (45%)	1
12 Trent Alexander-Arnold D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	49 (40%)	–
14 Aurélien Tchouaméni M	7.2	90'	–	–	2	45 (43%)	1
1 Thibaut Courtois G	7.0	90'	–	–	–	30 (27%)	–
6 Eduardo Camavinga M	7.0	13'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	2
21 Brahim Díaz M	6.8	23'	–	–	1	11 (9%)	1
20 Bernardo Silva M	6.8	77'	–	–	–	42 (36%)	1
9 Endrick F	6.6	5'	–	–	1	2 (1%)	–

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Confidence High (76%)

At a glance

Our lean

Real Madrid to win or draw

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Racing Santander

WLWWL

Real Madrid

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings Racing Santander · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Racing Santander will face Real Madrid. Historically, Real Madrid has demonstrated superiority in head-to-head encounters, boasting a higher average possession rate and more shots on target per game compared to Santander. Racing Santander's defensive record shows vulnerability, allowing an average of 1.5 goals per match this season, which could be problematic against Madrid's potent attacking lineup. Madrid's recent form has been strong, with key players contributing significantly to their goal tally. This match could hinge on Santander's ability to contain Madrid's offensive threats while exploiting any defensive lapses from the visitors.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

14%

45%

Away

76%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Racing Santander

M. Zabiri 8 gls

Real Madrid

Kylian Mbappé 12 gls

J. Bellingham 4 gls

Y. Diomande 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Racing Santander vs Real Madrid

0 Racing Santander Wins

1 Draws

2 Real Madrid Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Feb 2012	Real Madrid	4 - 0	Racing Santander
21 Sep 2011	Racing Santander	0 - 0	Real Madrid
06 Mar 2011	Racing Santander	1 - 3	Real Madrid

See all 4 meetings — Premium

Racing Santander — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	A Malaga	W	1 - 2
01 Nov	H Real Madrid	L	0 - 3
29 Oct	A Ribadesella CF	W	0 - 2
24 Oct	H Espanyol	W	2 - 1
18 Oct	A Osasuna	L	2 - 0

Real Madrid — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	A Valencia	W	0 - 3
04 Nov	A AEK Athens FC	W	2 - 3
01 Nov	A Racing Santander	W	0 - 3
25 Oct	A Barcelona	W	1 - 2
21 Oct	H RB Leipzig	W	4 - 1

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	11	10	0	1	46	12	+34	30
2	Real Madrid	12	10	0	2	31	10	+21	30
3	Atletico Madrid	11	9	1	1	22	8	+14	28
4	Real Betis	11	7	2	2	18	15	+3	23
5	Real Sociedad	11	6	1	4	20	20	0	19
6	Sevilla	12	5	3	4	17	19	-2	18
7	Athletic Club	11	4	4	3	15	11	+4	16
8	Deportivo La Coruna	12	3	6	3	15	14	+1	15
9	Racing Santander	12	4	2	6	17	30	-13	14
10	Alaves	12	3	4	5	15	17	-2	13
11	Villarreal	11	3	3	5	15	15	0	12
12	Celta Vigo	11	2	6	3	10	10	0	12
13	Espanyol	12	3	3	6	13	14	-1	12
14	Rayo Vallecano	10	3	3	4	15	20	-5	12
15	Getafe	11	3	3	5	8	16	-8	12
16	Osasuna	12	3	3	6	12	23	-11	12
17	Elche	11	2	4	5	14	18	-4	10
18	Levante	11	2	4	5	16	21	-5	10
19	Valencia	12	2	3	7	8	20	-12	9
20	Malaga	12	0	5	7	9	23	-14	5

Real Madrid

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: José Mourinho

1 Courtois

17 Cucurella

16 Konaté

4 Huijsen

12 Alexander-Arnold

20 Silva

14 Tchouaméni

25 Diomande

5 Bellingham

15 Güler

10 Mbappé

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	T. Courtois	G
12	T. Alexander-Arnold	D
4	D. Huijsen	D
16	I. Konaté	D
17	Marc Cucurella	D
14	A. Tchouaméni	M
20	Bernardo Silva	M
15	A. Güler	M
5	J. Bellingham	M
25	Y. Diomande	M
10	Kylian Mbappé	F

Substitutes

18	Álvaro Fernández	D
21	Brahim Díaz	M
24	D. Dumfries	D
3	Éder Militão	D
9	Endrick	F
19	Carlos Espí	F
13	A. Lunin	G
26	Sergio Mestre	G
27	Thiago Pitarch	M
22	A. Rüdiger	D
6	E. Camavinga	M