Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Prediction
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction: Sportiko gives Rayo Vallecano a 38% chance of winning, Celta Vigo 31% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Oct 2026, 17:14.
Premium picks
Premium- 1st Half Home or Draw 76%
- Home to Score 73%
- Over 1.5 Goals 72%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
Match Report
Rayo Vallecano claimed a commanding 3–0 victory over Celta Vigo in Matchday 11 of La Liga, with Jorge de Frutos proving the decisive figure on the night. The winger broke the deadlock on 36 minutes to send Rayo into the break with a one-goal advantage, and he doubled that lead ten minutes into the second half to effectively settle the contest. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Rayo win as the most likely outcome at 38%, a call that proved correct.
Celta struggled to convert their possession into meaningful chances despite edging the ball slightly at 52%, and their eight shots on goal yielded nothing. Rayo, by contrast, were clinical when it mattered. Unai López, who had been cautioned in the first half, added a third goal on 73 minutes to complete the scoring before being withdrawn six minutes later.
The result was built on defensive solidity and sharp finishing rather than statistical dominance, with expected goals figures finishing close at 1.00 to 1.13 — a reminder of just how efficiently Rayo converted their opportunities on the night.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Rayo Vallecano
Match Stats
Rayo Vallecano
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jorge de Frutos F | 9.1 | 90' | 2 | – | 3 | 13 (8%) | – |
| 8 Unai López M | 8.2 | 79' | 1 | – | 1 | 64 (52%) | 1 |
| 2 Andrei Rațiu D | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 53 (45%) | 1 |
| 24 Florian Lejeune D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 66 (61%) | 1 |
| 17 Adrià Pedrosa D | 7.5 | 61' | – | – | – | 33 (29%) | 1 |
| 15 Mujaid Sadick D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (47%) | 2 |
| 10 Sergio Camello F | 7.3 | 61' | – | 1 | 2 | 27 (22%) | – |
| 36 Gnangoro Bouaré M | 7.3 | 26' | – | 1 | – | 23 (21%) | 1 |
| 4 Pedro Díaz M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 40 (35%) | 2 |
| 23 Óscar Valentín M | 7.1 | 64' | – | – | – | 33 (30%) | 3 |
| 33 Jozhua Vertrouwd D | 7.0 | 29' | – | – | – | 17 (13%) | – |
| 9 Alemão F | 6.9 | 11' | – | – | 1 | 3 (1%) | – |
| 7 Isi Palazón M | 6.8 | 29' | – | – | 2 | 7 (7%) | – |
| 25 Emil Audero G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (30%) | – |
| 14 Georgiy Tsitaishvili F | 6.7 | 44' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | – |
| 18 Álvaro García F | 6.6 | 46' | – | – | – | 25 (22%) | 1 |
Celta Vigo
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Ionuț Radu G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (26%) | – |
| 23 Hugo Álvarez F | 6.7 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 23 (18%) | – |
| 21 Sebastián Cáceres D | 6.6 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 39 (35%) | – |
| 19 Williot Swedberg F | 6.5 | 29' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | 1 |
| 10 Iago Aspas F | 6.5 | 29' | – | – | 2 | 7 (3%) | 1 |
| 20 Javi Rodríguez D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 64 (60%) | – |
| 24 Couhaib Driouech F | 6.3 | 15' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | – |
| 18 Yoel Lago D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 77 (67%) | – |
| 17 Javier Rueda M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 32 (25%) | 1 |
| 9 Ferran Jutglà F | 6.2 | 61' | – | – | 3 | 11 (7%) | – |
| 6 Ilaix Moriba M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (33%) | 1 |
| 22 Javi Galán M | 6.0 | 61' | – | – | – | 25 (20%) | 1 |
| 16 Hugo González F | 6.0 | 43' | – | – | 1 | 9 (6%) | – |
| 14 Aleix Febas M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (36%) | 1 |
| 5 Sergio Carreira D | 5.9 | 29' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | – |
| 11 Pablo Durán F | 5.8 | 47' | – | – | 2 | 14 (6%) | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Sergio Camello
7 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Celta Vigo | 3 - 0 | Rayo Vallecano |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 - 1 | Celta Vigo |
| 18 May 2025 | Celta Vigo | 1 - 2 | Rayo Vallecano |
Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | H Celta Vigo | W | 3 - 0 |
| 27 Oct | A Recreativo Huelva | W | 2 - 3 |
| 24 Oct | H Elche | L | 0 - 3 |
| 19 Oct | A Getafe | D | 1 - 1 |
| 19 Sep | A Osasuna | D | 1 - 1 |
Celta Vigo — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Union St. Gilloise | L | 1 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Rayo Vallecano | L | 3 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H Real Betis | D | 0 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | A Celtic | W | 1 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | H Alaves | W | 2 - 1 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 12 | +34 | 30 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |
Atletico Madrid
|
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 28 |
| 4 |
Real Betis
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |
Real Sociedad
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 |
Sevilla
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |
Athletic Club
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |
Racing Santander
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 14 |
| 10 |
Alaves
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |
Villarreal
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 |
Celta Vigo
|
11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 |
Espanyol
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 |
Osasuna
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |
Elche
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 |
Levante
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 5 |
Celta Vigo
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | I. Radu | G |
| 20 | Javi Rodríguez | D |
| 18 | Yoel Lago | D |
| 21 | S. Cáceres | D |
| 17 | Javi Rueda | M |
| 6 | I. Moriba | M |
| 14 | Aleix Febas | M |
| 22 | Javi Galán | M |
| 23 | Hugo Álvarez | F |
| 9 | Ferran Jutglà | F |
| 16 | Hugo González | F |
Substitutes
| 3 | Marcos Alonso | D |
| 28 | Andrés Antañón | M |
| 10 | Iago Aspas | F |
| 1 | A. Bayındır | G |
| 30 | H. Burcio | M |
| 5 | Sergio Carreira | D |
| 24 | C. Driouech | F |
| 11 | Pablo Durán | F |
| 4 | A. Faye | D |
| 19 | W. Swedberg | F |
| 25 | Iván Villar | G |
Rayo Vallecano
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Beñat San José
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | E. Audero | G |
| 2 | A. Rațiu | D |
| 24 | F. Lejeune | D |
| 15 | Mujaid Sadick | D |
| 17 | Adrià Pedrosa | D |
| 4 | Pedro Díaz | M |
| 23 | Óscar Valentín | M |
| 8 | Unai López | M |
| 19 | Jorge de Frutos | F |
| 10 | Sergio Camello | F |
| 18 | Álvaro García | F |
Substitutes
| 20 | I. Balliu | D |
| 37 | Rayane Belid | F |
| 9 | Alemão | F |
| 36 | G. Bouare | M |
| 1 | Dani Cárdenas | G |
| 22 | Pelayo Fernández | D |
| 11 | R. Nteka | M |
| 7 | Isi Palazón | M |
| 21 | Fran Pérez | F |
| 14 | G. Tsitaishvili | F |
| 33 | J. Vertrouwd | D |