Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 11

01 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Real Sociedad

Away

AI call Athletic Club to win or draw

75%

19%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad prediction: Sportiko gives Athletic Club a 75% chance of winning, Real Sociedad 6% and the draw 19%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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76% 73%

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 17.4%

Both teams to score

33%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Athletic Club

DDWWL

Real Sociedad

WLLWD

Last 3 meetings Athletic Club · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Athletic Club will face off against Real Sociedad in a tightly contested Basque derby. Both teams have shown strong defensive records this season, with Athletic averaging only 1.1 goals conceded per match and Real Sociedad closely trailing at 1.2. Offensively, Athletic has struggled to maintain consistency, scoring an average of 1.3 goals per match, while Real Sociedad boasts a more potent attack with 1.8 goals per game. Set pieces and midfield control will likely be key, with both teams needing to exploit any defensive lapses. Expect a tactical battle that could hinge on individual moments of brilliance.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Real Sociedad goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	3	1
1	16	9	2
2	17	8	2
3	12	6	1
4	6	3	1
5	3	1

↑ Athletic Club goals · most likely 2–0 (17.4%)

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Players in form

Athletic Club

No scorer data.

Real Sociedad

L. Sučić 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

19%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

19%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

93% Home (No Draw) 7% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

50% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

75% Home Scores More 19% Equal Goals 6% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	2.6%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
1	15.5%	8.6%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%
2	17.4%	8.0%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%
3	12.2%	5.6%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
4	6.5%	3.0%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

35%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Athletic Club	Draw	Real Sociedad
Athletic Club	54.5%	2.6%	0.4%
Draw	20.2%	13.4%	3.2%
Real Sociedad	1.3%	1.7%	2.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

39%

1.5

61%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

63%

29%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad

0 Athletic Club Wins

1 Draws

2 Real Sociedad Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Mar 2026	Real Sociedad	1 - 0	Athletic Club
01 Feb 2026	Athletic Club	1 - 1	Real Sociedad
01 Nov 2025	Real Sociedad	3 - 2	Athletic Club

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Athletic Club — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Alaves	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	H Elche	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A Celta Vigo	W	0 - 2
27 Aug	A Barcelona	L	2 - 0

Real Sociedad — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Valencia	W	2 - 3
17 Sep	H Bournemouth	L	1 - 2
13 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	L	0 - 3
07 Sep	A Elche	W	2 - 3
03 Sep	H Celta Vigo	D	0 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.