Valencia vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 10

25 Oct 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Villarreal

Away

Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia

AI call Villarreal or draw

30%

29%

40%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Valencia vs Villarreal prediction: Sportiko gives Valencia a 30% chance of winning, Villarreal 40% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Valencia

LWLLL

Villarreal

WWLLL

Last 3 meetings Valencia · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Valencia will face Villarreal in a crucial La Liga encounter. Valencia's recent form has shown resilience, with a solid defensive record, conceding an average of just 1 goal per match in their last five games. Villarreal, on the other hand, has struggled for consistency, particularly in away matches, where they have dropped points against lower-ranked teams. Key players to watch include Valencia's top scorer, who has been pivotal in their attacking play, and Villarreal's creative midfielder, who can disrupt defenses. This match could be pivotal for both teams' aspirations in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Villarreal goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	9	7	3	1
1	7	14	9	4	1
2	5	7	5	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Valencia goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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Players in form

Valencia

No scorer data.

Villarreal

P. Gueye 3 gls

Alberto Moleiro 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

30%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

30%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

57% Away (No Draw) 43% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Away Scores More 30% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.9%	8.8%	7.4%	3.5%	1.2%
1	7.2%	14.1%	8.9%	4.2%	1.5%
2	5.3%	7.5%	5.3%	2.5%	0.9%
3	2.1%	3.0%	2.1%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.6%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Valencia	Draw	Villarreal
Valencia	17.6%	4.5%	2.2%
Draw	11.8%	18.4%	15.0%
Villarreal	1.8%	4.5%	24.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

24%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Valencia vs Villarreal

0 Valencia Wins

1 Draws

2 Villarreal Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Feb 2026	Villarreal	2 - 1	Valencia
25 Oct 2025	Valencia	0 - 2	Villarreal
15 Feb 2025	Villarreal	1 - 1	Valencia

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Valencia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
15 Sep	A Alaves	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	A Sevilla	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Barcelona	L	0 - 5
30 Aug	A Deportivo La Coruna	L	3 - 1

Villarreal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Levante	W	3 - 1
17 Sep	A Malaga	W	1 - 3
14 Sep	H Real Betis	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Borussia Dortmund	L	3 - 2
05 Sep	H Deportivo La Coruna	L	2 - 3

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.