Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 10

25 Oct 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Deportivo La Coruna

Away

AI call Atletico Madrid to win

79%

17%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction: Sportiko gives Atletico Madrid a 79% chance of winning, Deportivo La Coruna 4% and the draw 17%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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75% 73% 74% 73%

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 18.1%

Both teams to score

31%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Atletico Madrid

WWWLL

Deportivo La Coruna

DLDWW

Last 3 meetings Atletico Madrid · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Atletico Madrid will face Deportivo La Coruna in an intriguing La Liga clash on October 25, 2026. Atletico has demonstrated a strong defensive record, allowing the fewest goals in the league with an average of 0.8 goals conceded per match. In contrast, Deportivo La Coruna struggles offensively, averaging only 1 goal per match this season. The match may hinge on Atletico's ability to capitalize on set pieces and their aggressive pressing style. Overall, Atletico's superior squad depth and tactical discipline could prove decisive in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Deportivo La Coruna goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	2	1
1	15	7	1
2	18	7	2
3	14	6	1
4	8	3	1
5	4	2

↑ Atletico Madrid goals · most likely 2–0 (18.1%)

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Players in form

Atletico Madrid

Álex Baena 4 gls

J. David 3 gls

Deportivo La Coruna

P. Aubameyang 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

95% Home (No Draw) 5% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

55% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

79% Home Scores More 17% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
1	14.9%	7.3%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
2	18.1%	7.4%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%
3	13.9%	5.7%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
4	8.0%	3.3%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

33%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

34%

24%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atletico Madrid	Draw	Deportivo La Coruna
Atletico Madrid	58.5%	1.8%	0.2%
Draw	20.3%	11.5%	1.9%
Deportivo La Coruna	1.5%	1.8%	2.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

34%

1.5

66%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

Home Exact Goals

10%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

66%

27%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

81%

0.5

19%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna

2 Atletico Madrid Wins

1 Draws

0 Deportivo La Coruna Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Apr 2018	Atletico Madrid	1 - 0	Deportivo La Coruna
04 Nov 2017	Deportivo La Coruna	0 - 1	Atletico Madrid
02 Mar 2017	Deportivo La Coruna	1 - 1	Atletico Madrid

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Atletico Madrid — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Madrid	W	2 - 1
16 Sep	H Osasuna	W	4 - 0
13 Sep	A Real Sociedad	W	0 - 3
09 Sep	A Liverpool	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Athletic Club	L	3 - 0

Deportivo La Coruna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Betis	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	H Sevilla	L	0 - 1
13 Sep	A Getafe	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Villarreal	W	2 - 3
30 Aug	H Valencia	W	3 - 1

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.