Osasuna vs Racing Santander Prediction
Osasuna vs Racing Santander prediction: Sportiko gives Osasuna a 47% chance of winning, Racing Santander 26% and the draw 27%. Last updated 18 Oct 2026, 13:54.
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Match Report
Osasuna secured a comfortable 2–0 home victory over Racing Santander in matchday nine of La Liga, with the result rarely in doubt after a dramatic opening spell. The game's early momentum shifted quickly when Jonathan Dubasin had a goal ruled out by VAR in the fifth minute, before Ante Budimir converted a penalty just four minutes later to put Osasuna ahead. Racing struggled to respond, and the hosts carried their lead into the break.
The second half followed a similar pattern, with Osasuna controlling the contest despite Racing enjoying the majority of possession at 57%. The visitors managed just one shot on target throughout the entire match, while Osasuna generated an impressive 3.42 expected goals compared to Racing's 0.31, underlining the gulf in attacking threat. A flurry of substitutions from both sides did little to alter the dynamic.
Asier Osambela wrapped up the points with a goal in the 88th minute, confirming a dominant performance for the hosts. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Osasuna win as the most likely outcome at 47%, a call that proved correct as the Navarrans moved up the standings.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Osasuna
Match Stats
Osasuna
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Asier Osambela M | 7.8 | 23' | 1 | – | 3 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 22 Flavien Boyomo D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (21%) | 2 |
| 24 Alejandro Catena D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 30 (22%) | – |
| 27 Iñigo Arguibide D | 7.2 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | 1 |
| 23 Abel Bretones D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (26%) | 4 |
| 17 Ante Budimir F | 7.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 16 (13%) | 2 |
| 19 Valentin Rosier D | 6.9 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 22 (17%) | – |
| 14 Rubén García F | 6.9 | 91' | – | – | 2 | 27 (23%) | 2 |
| 6 Lucas Torró M | 6.8 | 23' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 8 Iker Muñoz M | 6.7 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 28 (22%) | 1 |
| 16 Moi Gómez M | 6.6 | 67' | – | – | – | 28 (20%) | 2 |
| 13 Aitor Fernández G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (16%) | – |
| 7 Jon Moncayola M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (27%) | – |
| 18 Raúl Moro F | 6.5 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 21 Jonathan Dubasin F | 6.3 | 76' | – | – | 4 | 26 (23%) | 1 |
Racing Santander
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Julen Agirrezabala G | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (20%) | – |
| 11 Andrés Martín F | 6.7 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 15 (13%) | – |
| 8 André Almeida M | 6.6 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 16 (15%) | 2 |
| 18 Matteo Prati M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 41 (37%) | 3 |
| 5 Pablo Ramón D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 64 (57%) | – |
| 24 Jeanuël Belocian D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (31%) | – |
| 20 Sergio Canales M | 6.4 | 69' | – | – | 3 | 25 (23%) | – |
| 15 Pablo García F | 6.3 | 21' | – | – | 2 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 10 Iñigo Vicente M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 62 (51%) | 1 |
| 12 Asier Villalibre F | 6.3 | 7' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 21 Yassir Zabiri F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | – |
| 3 Aarón Martín D | 6.1 | 7' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 2 Alvaro Mantilla D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 60 (47%) | 6 |
| 23 Iván Martín M | 5.6 | 83' | – | – | – | 50 (41%) | 1 |
| 17 Jorge Salinas D | 5.6 | 83' | – | – | – | 18 (14%) | 1 |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
A. Budimir
8 gls
M. Zabiri
8 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Osasuna vs Racing Santander
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | Osasuna | 2 - 0 | Racing Santander |
| 13 May 2012 | Racing Santander | 2 - 4 | Osasuna |
| 15 Jan 2012 | Osasuna | 0 - 2 | Racing Santander |
Osasuna — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Athletic Club | D | 1 - 1 |
| 02 Nov | A Deportivo La Coruna | L | 2 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | A Atletico Calatayud | W | 0 - 6 |
| 26 Oct | A Sevilla | L | 2 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | H Racing Santander | W | 2 - 0 |
Racing Santander — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Malaga | W | 1 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | H Real Madrid | L | 0 - 3 |
| 29 Oct | A Ribadesella CF | W | 0 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | H Espanyol | W | 2 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Osasuna | L | 2 - 0 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 12 | +34 | 30 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |
Atletico Madrid
|
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 28 |
| 4 |
Real Betis
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |
Real Sociedad
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 |
Sevilla
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |
Athletic Club
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |
Racing Santander
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 14 |
| 10 |
Alaves
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |
Villarreal
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 |
Celta Vigo
|
11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 |
Espanyol
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 |
Osasuna
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |
Elche
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 |
Levante
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 5 |
Osasuna
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Arrasate
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Aitor Fernández | G |
| 19 | V. Rosier | D |
| 24 | Catena | D |
| 22 | F. Boyomo | D |
| 23 | Abel Bretones | D |
| 7 | Moncayola | M |
| 8 | Iker Muñoz | M |
| 16 | Moi Gómez | M |
| 14 | Rubén García | F |
| 17 | A. Budimir | F |
| 21 | Jonathan Dubasin | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | Kike Barja | F |
| 48 | R. Yeboah | D |
| 6 | Lucas Torró | M |
| 35 | U. Santos | D |
| 15 | Diego Rico | D |
| 31 | Rafa Fernández | G |
| 29 | Asier Osambela | M |
| 27 | Íñigo Arguibide | D |
| 26 | Mauro Echegoyen | M |
| 9 | Raúl García | F |
| 1 | Sergio Herrera | G |
| 18 | Raul Moro | F |
Racing Santander
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: José Alberto López
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Julen Agirrezabala | G |
| 2 | Álvaro Mantilla | D |
| 5 | Pablo Ramón | D |
| 24 | J. Belocian | D |
| 17 | Jorge Salinas | D |
| 23 | Iván Martín | M |
| 18 | M. Prati | M |
| 20 | Sergio Canales | M |
| 8 | André Almeida | M |
| 10 | Iñigo Vicente | M |
| 21 | M. Zabiri | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | Asier Villalibre | F |
| 9 | Juan Carlos Arana | F |
| 15 | Pablo García | F |
| 6 | Íñigo Sainz-Maza | M |
| 22 | Pedro Felipe | D |
| 11 | Andrés Martín | F |
| 3 | Aarón Martín | D |
| 19 | Iker Luque | F |
| 7 | G. Guliashvili | F |
| 14 | M. Gueye | M |
| 16 | Facundo González | D |
| 31 | Laro Gómez | G |