Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 9

18 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Atletico Madrid

Away

AI call Atletico Madrid to win or draw

21%

74%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Sportiko gives Espanyol a 5% chance of winning, Atletico Madrid 74% and the draw 21%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 21.1%

Both teams to score

23%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

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Espanyol

LLWDL

Atletico Madrid

WWWLL

Last 3 meetings Espanyol · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Espanyol faces Atletico Madrid in a La Liga clash where both teams have distinct objectives. Atletico Madrid, known for their solid defense and counter-attacking prowess, has averaged 1.8 goals per match this season, while Espanyol has struggled, managing just 1.2 goals per game. Historically, Atletico has dominated this matchup, with a win rate exceeding 60% in their last 10 encounters. Espanyol will need to improve their defensive organization to prevent Atletico's attacking threats, particularly with players like Antoine Griezmann and Alvaro Morata, who are crucial in exploiting spaces. Overall, this match will test Espanyol's resilience against a formidable opponent.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atletico Madrid goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	13	21	20	12	6	2
1	3	7	6	4	2	1
2	1	1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Espanyol goals · most likely 0–1 (21.0%)

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Players in form

Espanyol

Roberto Fernández 6 gls

Atletico Madrid

Álex Baena 4 gls

J. David 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

74%

Draw

21%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

74%

Draw

21%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

94% Away (No Draw) 6% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

47% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

74% Away Scores More 21% Equal Goals 5% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

24%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.8%	21.1%	20.2%	12.4%	5.7%
1	2.7%	7.4%	6.0%	3.7%	1.7%
2	0.5%	1.0%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%
3	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

36%

20%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Espanyol	Draw	Atletico Madrid
Espanyol	2.7%	1.8%	1.1%
Draw	2.0%	16.4%	21.8%
Atletico Madrid	0.1%	1.6%	52.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

11%

Away Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid

1 Espanyol Wins

1 Draws

1 Atletico Madrid Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Feb 2026	Atletico Madrid	4 - 2	Espanyol
17 Aug 2025	Espanyol	2 - 1	Atletico Madrid
29 Mar 2025	Espanyol	1 - 1	Atletico Madrid

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Espanyol — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Elche	L	1 - 3
15 Sep	A Rayo Vallecano	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Osasuna	W	0 - 2
06 Sep	H Sevilla	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Real Sociedad	L	2 - 1

Atletico Madrid — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Madrid	W	2 - 1
16 Sep	H Osasuna	W	4 - 0
13 Sep	A Real Sociedad	W	0 - 3
09 Sep	A Liverpool	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Athletic Club	L	3 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.