Villarreal vs Elche Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 9

18 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Elche

Away

Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal

AI call Difficult Elche win or draw

18%

25%

57%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Villarreal vs Elche prediction: Sportiko gives Villarreal a 18% chance of winning, Elche 57% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.8%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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Villarreal

WWLLL

Elche

WLDLL

Last 3 meetings Villarreal · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Villarreal enters the match against Elche having shown a solid record at home, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per game this season. Their strong attacking line, led by key forwards, has been effective, contributing to a positive goal difference. Elche, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game, which could be exploited by Villarreal's offense. The matchup will likely hinge on Villarreal's ability to maintain pressure and capitalize on Elche's defensive frailties. Overall, Villarreal is favored to take the three points if they can execute their attacking strategy effectively.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Elche goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	9	10	6	3	1
1	4	12	10	7	3	1
2	3	5	5	3	2	1
3	1	2	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Villarreal goals · most likely 1–1 (11.8%)

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Players in form

Villarreal

P. Gueye 3 gls

Alberto Moleiro 2 gls

Elche

Fer Niño 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

57%

Draw

25%

Home Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

57%

Draw

25%

Home Win

18%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

76% Away (No Draw) 24% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 18% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.6%	8.9%	9.9%	6.4%	3.1%
1	4.0%	11.8%	10.1%	6.5%	3.2%
2	2.7%	5.3%	5.2%	3.3%	1.6%
3	0.9%	1.8%	1.8%	1.1%	0.6%
4	0.2%	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Villarreal	Draw	Elche
Villarreal	10.3%	4.0%	2.8%
Draw	7.2%	14.9%	18.9%
Elche	1.3%	3.9%	36.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Away Exact Goals

15%

28%

27%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Villarreal vs Elche

2 Villarreal Wins

0 Draws

1 Elche Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Mar 2026	Villarreal	2 - 1	Elche
03 Jan 2026	Elche	1 - 3	Villarreal
04 Feb 2023	Elche	3 - 1	Villarreal

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Villarreal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Levante	W	3 - 1
17 Sep	A Malaga	W	1 - 3
14 Sep	H Real Betis	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Borussia Dortmund	L	3 - 2
05 Sep	H Deportivo La Coruna	L	2 - 3

Elche — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Espanyol	W	1 - 3
15 Sep	H Real Madrid	L	2 - 3
12 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Racing Santander	L	3 - 2

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.