Valencia vs Athletic Club Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 9

18 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Athletic Club

Away

Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia

AI call Athletic Club to win or draw

21%

75%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Valencia vs Athletic Club prediction: Sportiko gives Valencia a 5% chance of winning, Athletic Club 75% and the draw 21%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 20%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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Valencia

LWLLL

Athletic Club

DDWWL

Last 3 meetings Valencia · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Valencia hosts Athletic Club. Valencia has shown solid form at home with a recent average of 1.8 goals per game, while their defense has conceded only 1 goal per match in their last five fixtures. Athletic Club, known for their robust defensive setup, has been effective on the road, managing 1.5 goals per away game. However, they have struggled against teams with a high pressing game, which Valencia implements effectively. The match will likely hinge on Valencia's ability to break down Athletic's defense early.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

21%

45%

Away

75%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Athletic Club goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12	20	20	13	6	2
1	3	8	6	4	2	1
2	1	1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Valencia goals · most likely 0–1 (20.0%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

75%

Draw

21%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

75%

Draw

21%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

94% Away (No Draw) 6% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

48% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

75% Away Scores More 21% Equal Goals 5% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

23%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.9%	20.0%	19.9%	12.6%	6.0%
1	2.7%	7.6%	6.4%	4.0%	1.9%
2	0.6%	1.1%	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%
3	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

36%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

35%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Valencia	Draw	Athletic Club
Valencia	2.4%	1.7%	1.2%
Draw	2.4%	15.6%	24.5%
Athletic Club	0.2%	1.8%	50.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

73%

23%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

11%

Away Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Valencia vs Athletic Club

2 Valencia Wins

0 Draws

1 Athletic Club Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Athletic Club	0 - 1	Valencia
20 Sep 2025	Valencia	2 - 0	Athletic Club
18 May 2025	Valencia	0 - 1	Athletic Club

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Valencia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
15 Sep	A Alaves	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	A Sevilla	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Barcelona	L	0 - 5
30 Aug	A Deportivo La Coruna	L	3 - 1

Athletic Club — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Alaves	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	H Elche	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A Celta Vigo	W	0 - 2
27 Aug	A Barcelona	L	2 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.