Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction
Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction: Sportiko gives Real Sociedad a 58% chance of winning, Deportivo La Coruna 17% and the draw 25%. Last updated 11 Oct 2026, 16:14.
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Match Report
Real Sociedad secured a dramatic 3–2 victory over Deportivo La Coruña in matchday 8 of La Liga, despite the visitors dominating possession and creating the greater volume of chances throughout the contest. The hosts struck twice before the break, with Jon Martin opening the scoring in the 29th minute before Arsen Zakharyan doubled the advantage five minutes later to send Real Sociedad into half-time in full control.
Deportivo responded sharply after the interval, with Gonçalo Guedes pulling one back on 54 minutes before Mario Soriano reduced the deficit further at 61 minutes, setting up a tense finale. The visitors' hopes were dealt a significant blow when Pablo Marín was shown a red card in the 66th minute, and Real Sociedad capitalised almost immediately as Yeremay Hernández converted a penalty on 69 minutes to restore the two-goal cushion and ultimately seal the points. Deportivo's Lorenzo Amatucci was also dismissed in stoppage time.
The result was notable given Deportivo's statistical superiority — 60% possession, 21 total shots, and an expected goals figure of 1.91 against Real Sociedad's 1.53. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Real Sociedad win as the most likely outcome at 58%, a call that proved correct.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Real Sociedad
Match Stats
Real Sociedad
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Arsen Zakharyan F | 7.7 | 56' | 1 | – | 1 | 21 (16%) | – |
| 6 Jon Martin D | 7.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 45 (41%) | 3 |
| 11 Gonçalo Guedes M | 7.1 | 56' | 1 | – | 1 | 18 (15%) | – |
| 7 Ander Barrenetxea M | 7.1 | 88' | – | 1 | 1 | 26 (20%) | – |
| 18 Carlos Soler M | 7.0 | 69' | – | 1 | 1 | 36 (31%) | – |
| 19 Mamadou Sarr D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (41%) | 2 |
| 1 Álex Remiro G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (12%) | – |
| 21 Yangel Herrera M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 33 (30%) | 8 |
| 10 Mikel Oyarzabal F | 6.5 | 34' | – | – | 3 | 5 (5%) | 1 |
| 12 Job Ochieng F | 6.5 | 34' | – | – | – | 9 (5%) | – |
| 24 Luka Sučić F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (17%) | – |
| 5 Igor Zubeldia D | 6.3 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 22 Hector Fort D | 6.2 | 2' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 17 Sergio Gómez D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (23%) | 5 |
| 15 Pablo Marín D | 5.8 | 66' | – | – | – | 27 (23%) | – |
Deportivo La Coruna
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mario Soriano M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 90 (85%) | 3 |
| 10 Yeremay Hernández M | 7.8 | 90' | 1 | – | 5 | 31 (30%) | 1 |
| 24 Adama Traoré F | 6.7 | 33' | – | – | – | 11 (10%) | 1 |
| 22 Bright Ede D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 59 (55%) | 2 |
| 14 Riki Rodríguez M | 6.5 | 44' | – | 1 | 2 | 27 (26%) | 1 |
| 19 Luismi Cruz F | 6.5 | 57' | – | – | 1 | 30 (24%) | 1 |
| 2 Adrià Altimira D | 6.4 | 33' | – | – | 1 | 21 (18%) | 2 |
| 32 Bil Nsongo F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 7 | 22 (18%) | 2 |
| 20 José María Giménez D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 50 (44%) | 2 |
| 23 Ximo Navarro D | 6.2 | 57' | – | – | – | 33 (28%) | 3 |
| 8 Diego Villares M | 6.1 | 57' | – | – | 1 | 40 (32%) | 2 |
| 12 Giacomo Quagliata D | 5.9 | 79' | – | – | – | 30 (25%) | – |
| 18 Jonathan Asp Jensen M | 5.8 | 11' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 13 Leo Román G | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (17%) | – |
| 11 David Mella M | 5.6 | 46' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 16 Lorenzo Amatucci M | 5.4 | 33' | – | – | – | 23 (20%) | 3 |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
L. Sučić
4 gls
P. Aubameyang
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb 2018 | Real Sociedad | 5 - 0 | Deportivo La Coruna |
| 10 Sep 2017 | Deportivo La Coruna | 2 - 4 | Real Sociedad |
| 23 Apr 2017 | Real Sociedad | 1 - 0 | Deportivo La Coruna |
Real Sociedad — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Lyon | D | 1 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | A Athletic Club | L | 2 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Levante | W | 2 - 1 |
| 22 Oct | A Lillestrom | W | 0 - 6 |
| 18 Oct | A Malaga | W | 2 - 5 |
Deportivo La Coruna — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Espanyol | D | 0 - 0 |
| 02 Nov | H Osasuna | W | 2 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | A Auriense | W | 0 - 3 |
| 24 Oct | A Atletico Madrid | L | 1 - 0 |
| 16 Oct | H Levante | D | 1 - 1 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 12 | +34 | 30 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |
Atletico Madrid
|
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 28 |
| 4 |
Real Betis
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |
Real Sociedad
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 |
Sevilla
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |
Athletic Club
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |
Racing Santander
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 14 |
| 10 |
Alaves
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |
Villarreal
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 |
Celta Vigo
|
11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 |
Espanyol
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 |
Osasuna
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |
Elche
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 |
Levante
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 5 |
Real Sociedad
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: P. Matarazzo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Álex Remiro | G |
| 15 | Pablo Marín | D |
| 6 | Jon Martín | D |
| 19 | M. Sarr | D |
| 17 | Sergio Gómez | D |
| 7 | Barrenetxea | M |
| 21 | Y. Herrera | M |
| 18 | Carlos Soler | M |
| 11 | Gonçalo Guedes | M |
| 24 | L. Sučić | F |
| 23 | A. Zakharyan | F |
Substitutes
| 27 | Gorka Carrera | F |
| 34 | Luken Beitia | D |
| 22 | Héctor Fort | D |
| 4 | Jon Gorrotxategi | M |
| 14 | T. Kubo | F |
| 13 | Unai Marrero | G |
| 3 | Aihen Muñoz | D |
| 12 | J. Ochieng | F |
| 10 | Mikel Oyarzabal | F |
| 16 | Jon Pacheco | D |
| 8 | Beñat Turrientes | M |
| 5 | Zubeldia | D |
Deportivo La Coruna
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Antonio Hidalgo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Leo Román | G |
| 23 | Ximo Navarro | D |
| 20 | J. Giménez | D |
| 22 | B. Ede | D |
| 12 | G. Quagliata | D |
| 11 | David Mella | M |
| 21 | Mario Soriano | M |
| 8 | Diego Villares | M |
| 10 | Peke | M |
| 19 | Luismi Cruz | F |
| 32 | B. Nsongo | F |
Substitutes
| 2 | Adrià Alti | D |
| 17 | Angeliño | D |
| 18 | Jonathan Asp Jensen | M |
| 37 | Noé | M |
| 25 | Álvaro Fernández | G |
| 15 | Miguel Loureiro | D |
| 4 | L. Noubi | D |
| 31 | Martín Ochoa | F |
| 14 | Riki Rodríguez | M |
| 24 | Adama Traoré | F |
| 33 | Kevin Sánchez | F |
| 16 | L. Amatucci | M |