Villarreal vs Real Betis Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 5

Post on X

Real Betis

Away

Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal

AI call Villarreal or draw

46%

26%

28%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Villarreal vs Real Betis prediction: Sportiko gives Villarreal a 46% chance of winning, Real Betis 28% and the draw 26%. Last updated 14 Sep 2026, 20:54.

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1st Half Over 0.5 76%
Away to Score 74%

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Match Report

Villarreal dominated possession at home but were undone by a frantic first half in this La Liga matchday five encounter. Gerard Moreno opened the scoring for the hosts in the 29th minute, only for Real Betis to turn the game on its head before the break. Cucho Hernández levelled in the 39th minute before Natan headed Betis in front three minutes later, sending the visitors into the interval with a 2–1 advantage. A VAR cancellation had already denied Buchanan earlier in the half, compounding Villarreal's frustrations.

The second half brought a flurry of substitutions from both benches but no further goals, despite Villarreal pressing with 62% possession and generating 14 total shots. Betis, by contrast, were ruthlessly efficient, recording 26 attempts across the 90 minutes and 12 on target. The Yellow Submarine could not find a way through a resolute Betis rearguard.

The result moves Real Betis up the standings with a well-earned away victory. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Villarreal win as the most likely outcome at 46%, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Tajon Buchanan Goal cancelled

20' 🖵

Gerard Moreno assist: Renato Veiga

29' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 39'

Cucho Hernández

⚽ 1–2 43'

Natan

HT 1–2

Pape Gueye ⇄ Nathan-Dylan Saliba

54' ⇄

Tajon Buchanan ⇄ Alberto Moleiro

55' ⇄

⇄ 57'

Isco ⇄ Dani Ceballos

Gerard Moreno ⇄ Tani Oluwaseyi

62' ⇄

⇄ 66'

Abdessamad Ezzalzouli ⇄ Antony

⇄ 67'

Rodrigo Riquelme ⇄ Nelson Deossa

Santiago Mouriño ⇄ Alexander Freeman

76' ⇄

Nicolas Pépé ⇄ Ayoze Pérez

76' ⇄

Renato Veiga Yellow Card

84' ▮

⇄ 84'

Pablo Fornals ⇄ Facundo Bernal

⇄ 84'

Cucho Hernández ⇄ Giovani Lo Celso

FT 1–2

Villarreal

Match Stats

Real Betis

62% Ball Possession 38%

14 Total Shots 26

8 Shots on Goal 12

4 Shots off Goal 4

2 Blocked Shots 10

11 Shots insidebox 20

3 Shots outsidebox 6

7 Corner Kicks 4

5 Offsides 2

7 Fouls 8

1 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

10 Goalkeeper Saves 7

621 Total passes 378

551 Passes accurate 314

6 Free Kicks 7

Villarreal

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
25 Péter Gulácsi G	8.8	90'	–	–	–	18 (18%)	–
7 Gerard Moreno F	8.2	62'	1	–	1	27 (20%)	–
12 Renato Veiga D	7.0	90'	–	1	–	90 (83%)	1
21 Tani Oluwaseyi F	6.9	28'	–	–	1	10 (8%)	3
6 Pau Navarro D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	84 (79%)	2
10 Alberto Moleiro M	6.8	35'	–	–	2	22 (21%)	1
17 Tajon Buchanan M	6.7	55'	–	–	2	22 (19%)	1
18 Pape Gueye M	6.6	54'	–	–	–	40 (35%)	–
14 Santi Comesaña M	6.6	90'	–	–	1	72 (66%)	2
20 Carlos Romero D	6.5	90'	–	–	1	59 (53%)	1
9 Georges Mikautadze F	6.4	90'	–	–	4	34 (27%)	–
15 Santiago Mouriño D	6.3	76'	–	–	–	45 (41%)	1
22 Ayoze Pérez F	6.3	14'	–	–	–	7 (4%)	1
24 Nathan-Dylan Saliba M	6.2	36'	–	–	–	36 (31%)	–
3 Alexander Freeman D	6.1	14'	–	–	–	18 (17%)	–
19 Nicolas Pépé M	5.9	76'	–	–	2	35 (27%)	1

Real Betis

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Álvaro Valles G	8.5	90'	–	–	–	29 (19%)	–
9 Cucho Hernández F	7.8	84'	1	–	4	21 (15%)	–
4 Natan D	7.6	90'	1	–	1	41 (32%)	5
10 Abdessamad Ezzalzouli M	7.5	66'	–	–	3	21 (20%)	1
7 Antony F	7.2	24'	–	–	4	13 (13%)	–
22 Isco M	7.2	57'	–	–	3	27 (25%)	–
25 Dani Ceballos M	7.1	33'	–	–	–	20 (20%)	4
18 Nelson Deossa M	6.8	23'	–	–	3	13 (10%)	–
2 Héctor Bellerín D	6.7	90'	–	–	3	27 (23%)	1
21 Marc Roca M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	46 (42%)	4
5 Marc Bartra D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	24 (19%)	2
8 Pablo Fornals M	6.6	84'	–	–	3	40 (34%)	–
11 Fran García D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	38 (29%)	4
17 Rodrigo Riquelme M	6.4	67'	–	–	2	15 (10%)	–
20 Giovani Lo Celso M	6.2	6'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	1
6 Facundo Bernal M	6.2	6'	–	–	–	–	–

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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Our lean

Villarreal or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.9%

Both teams to score

63%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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Villarreal

WWLLL

Real Betis

DWWWW

Last 3 meetings Villarreal · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Villarreal faces Real Betis in a tightly contested La Liga match. Villarreal has demonstrated solid form at home, with a strong defensive record, allowing an average of just 1 goal per match in their last five games. Real Betis, on the other hand, has been inconsistent, struggling to convert chances into goals, averaging 1.2 goals per match in their recent outings. Both teams will be looking to establish early control, but Villarreal's defensive solidity and home performance may give them the edge in this encounter. Expect a tactical battle, with midfield play likely to be crucial in determining the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

46%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

28%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Real Betis goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	4	4	2	1
1	6	12	7	3	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	4	6	4	2	1
4	2	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Villarreal goals · most likely 1–1 (11.9%)

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Players in form

Villarreal

P. Gueye 3 gls

Alberto Moleiro 2 gls

Real Betis

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Away Win

28%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS Yes 37% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Away Win

28%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

63% Home (No Draw) 37% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Home Scores More 28% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS Yes 37% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.7%	4.5%	4.0%	1.8%	0.6%
1	6.4%	11.9%	7.1%	3.2%	1.1%
2	7.0%	9.5%	6.4%	2.9%	1.0%
3	4.2%	5.7%	3.9%	1.7%	0.6%
4	1.9%	2.6%	1.7%	0.8%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

31%

27%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Villarreal	Draw	Real Betis
Villarreal	32.1%	5.5%	2.5%
Draw	13.5%	14.8%	10.9%
Real Betis	2.1%	3.8%	14.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Villarreal vs Real Betis

1 Villarreal Wins

1 Draws

1 Real Betis Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Jan 2026	Real Betis	2 - 0	Villarreal
18 Oct 2025	Villarreal	2 - 2	Real Betis
13 Apr 2025	Real Betis	1 - 2	Villarreal

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Villarreal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Levante	W	3 - 1
17 Sep	A Malaga	W	1 - 3
14 Sep	H Real Betis	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Borussia Dortmund	L	3 - 2
05 Sep	H Deportivo La Coruna	L	2 - 3

Real Betis — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Deportivo La Coruna	D	1 - 1
17 Sep	H Getafe	W	1 - 0
14 Sep	A Villarreal	W	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Lille	W	2 - 3
04 Sep	H Real Madrid	W	1 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Villarreal

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Iñigo Pérez

25 Gulácsi

20 Romero

12 Veiga

6 Navarro

15 Mouriño

17 Buchanan

14 Comesaña

18 Gueye

19 Pépé

9 Mikautadze

7 Moreno

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
25	P. Gulácsi	G
15	S. Mouriño	D
6	Pau Navarro	D
12	Renato Veiga	D
20	Carlos Romero	D
19	N. Pépé	M
18	P. Gueye	M
14	Santi Comesaña	M
17	T. Buchanan	M
7	Gerard Moreno	F
9	G. Mikautadze	F

Substitutes

23	Sergi Cardona	D
11	Ilias Akhomach	F
2	Logan Costa	D
5	A. Diatta	M
3	A. Freeman	D
13	Rubén Gómez	G
1	Luíz Júnior	G
16	C. Macia	M
10	Alberto Moleiro	M
21	T. Oluwaseyi	F
22	Ayoze Pérez	F
24	N. Saliba	M

Real Betis

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Pellegrini

1 Vallés

11 García

4 Natan

5 Bartra

2 Bellerín

21 Roca

8 Fornals

10 Ezzalzouli

22 Isco

17 Riquelme

9 Hernández

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Álvaro Vallés	G
2	Héctor Bellerín	D
5	Marc Bartra	D
4	Natan	D
11	Fran García	D
8	Pablo Fornals	M
21	Marc Roca	M
17	Rodrigo Riquelme	M
22	Isco	M
10	A. Ezzalzouli	M
9	C. Hernández	F

Substitutes

25	Dani Ceballos	M
18	N. Deossa	M
15	Álvaro Fidalgo	M
23	Junior Firpo	D
16	V. Gómez	D
31	Manu González	G
20	G. Lo Celso	M
14	Iker Losada	F
12	Ángel Ortiz	D
19	T. Parrott	F
7	Antony	F
6	F. Bernal	M