Espanyol vs Sevilla Prediction

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
AI call Espanyol or draw
39%
31%
30%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Espanyol vs Sevilla prediction: Sportiko gives Espanyol a 39% chance of winning, Sevilla 30% and the draw 31%. Last updated 6 Sep 2026, 21:02.

Premium picks

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
  • Home to Score 72%
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Match Report

Espanyol and Sevilla played out a feisty 1–1 draw in La Liga's fourth matchday, with five yellow cards distributed before half-time setting a combative tone. The first half remained goalless despite the ill-tempered exchanges, and Sevilla's numerical advantage in possession — 56% to 44% — suggested they were the likelier side to break the deadlock.

The second half brought further drama, as Arouna Sangante's red card in the 56th minute reduced Sevilla to ten men just moments after a flurry of substitutions from both sides. A goal from Omar El Hilali was subsequently ruled out by VAR, keeping the scoreline level. Sevilla's Lucas Stassin finally broke the deadlock in the 85th minute, only for Espanyol's Marcos Fernández to equalise deep into stoppage time at 90+8', snatching a share of the points for the hosts.

Our pre-match AI model had rated an Espanyol win as the most likely outcome at 39%, and while the hosts ultimately settled for a draw, Fernández's late intervention ensured they were not beaten. Sevilla finished with 12 total shots to Espanyol's six, though neither side could claim full reward.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

2'
Giorgi Kochorashvili Yellow Card
Álex Calatrava Yellow Card
14'
27'
Robbie Ure Yellow Card
40'
Miguel Ángel Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Gabriel Moscardo Yellow Card
46'
54'
Robbie Ure ⇄ Lucas Stassin
54'
Giorgi Kochorashvili ⇄ Youssouf Fofana
56'
Arouna Sangante Red Card
57'
Yellow Card
Gabriel Moscardo ⇄ Urko González
59'
Álex Calatrava ⇄ Marcos Fernández
59'
60'
Chidera Ejuke ⇄ Andres Castrin
Omar El Hilali Goal cancelled
62' 🖵
71'
Miguel Ángel ⇄ José Ángel Carmona
71'
Jon Guridi ⇄ Manu Bueno
Omar El Hilali ⇄ Bryan Zaragoza
75'
0–1 85'
Lucas Stassin
Unai Núñez ⇄ Clemens Riedel
86'
Roger Hinojo ⇄ Quilindschy Hartman
86'
Marcos Fernández
90+8' 1–1
FT 1–1
Espanyol

Match Stats

Sevilla
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 0
7 Shots insidebox 3
5 Shots outsidebox 3
0 Corner Kicks 4
5 Offsides 2
17 Fouls 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
375 Total passes 309
303 Passes accurate 229
11 Free Kicks 16
Espanyol
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
18 Marcos Fernández F 7.9 31' 1 3 6 (4%)
8 Edu Expósito M 7.2 90' 1 44 (37%)
21 Roger Hinojo D 7.1 86' 39 (34%) 2
13 Marko Dmitrović G 7.0 90' 26 (21%)
23 Omar El Hilali D 7.0 75' 8 (5%) 4
6 Leandro Cabrera D 6.9 90' 51 (48%) 1
3 Quilindschy Hartman D 6.9 4' 9 (9%)
20 Gabriel Moscardo M 6.7 59' 21 (17%) 3
5 Clemens Riedel D 6.6 4' 12 (10%)
4 Urko González M 6.6 31' 21 (16%) 2
14 Unai Núñez D 6.5 86' 1 62 (45%) 1
15 Bryan Zaragoza F 6.4 15' 11 (6%)
28 Javier Hernández M 6.4 90' 2 21 (18%)
24 Tyrhys Dolan M 6.3 90' 23 (19%) 1
9 Roberto Fernández F 6.3 90' 3 7 (6%) 1
22 Álex Calatrava M 6.1 59' 2 14 (8%) 1
Sevilla
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Lucas Stassin F 7.6 36' 1 2 6 (4%)
6 Lucien Agoumé M 6.9 90' 43 (35%) 2
5 Andres Castrin D 6.8 30' 1 2 (2%) 1
17 Gabriel Suazo D 6.8 90' 29 (24%) 4
22 José Ángel Carmona D 6.7 19' 4 (2%)
21 Chidera Ejuke F 6.7 60' 24 (23%)
18 Jon Guridi M 6.6 71' 22 (19%)
24 Youssouf Fofana M 6.5 36' 1 6 (5%)
14 Manu Bueno M 6.5 19' 7 (2%)
2 Juan Iglesias D 6.4 90' 1 28 (19%) 1
30 Miguel Ángel F 6.4 71' 1 17 (14%) 1
9 Robbie Ure F 6.3 54' 9 (9%)
8 Giorgi Kochorashvili M 6.2 54' 28 (23%) 1
1 Odysseas Vlachodimos G 6.1 90' 30 (12%)
4 Kike Salas D 6.0 90' 28 (18%) 1
12 Arouna Sangante D 5.4 56' 26 (19%)
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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean
Espanyol or draw
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Espanyol
LLWDL
Sevilla
LWWDL
Last 3 meetings Espanyol · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Espanyol will host Sevilla in a La Liga matchup that promises to be competitive. Historically, Sevilla has been stronger in head-to-head encounters, boasting a higher win percentage in recent seasons. Espanyol's recent form has shown inconsistency, while Sevilla remains a formidable opponent with a solid defensive record. Key players to watch include Espanyol’s top scorer and Sevilla’s creative midfielders, who can dictate the pace of the game. Expect tactical battles in the midfield, with both teams seeking to capitalize on any defensive lapses.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
39%
10%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
30%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Espanyol
Roberto Fernández 6 gls
Sevilla

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Espanyol vs Sevilla

1 Espanyol Wins
1 Draws
1 Sevilla Wins
Date Home Score Away
09 May 2026 Sevilla 2 - 1 Espanyol
24 Nov 2025 Espanyol 2 - 1 Sevilla
25 Jan 2025 Sevilla 1 - 1 Espanyol
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Espanyol — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Elche L 1 - 3
15 Sep A Rayo Vallecano L 2 - 1
12 Sep A Osasuna W 0 - 2
06 Sep H Sevilla D 1 - 1
29 Aug A Real Sociedad L 2 - 1

Sevilla — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Barcelona L 1 - 3
16 Sep A Deportivo La Coruna W 0 - 1
11 Sep H Valencia W 1 - 0
06 Sep A Espanyol D 1 - 1
29 Aug H Atletico Madrid L 1 - 3

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Sevilla

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Luis García
1 Vlachodimos
17 Suazo
4 Salas
12 Sangante
2 Iglesias
18 Guridi
6 Agoumé
8 Kochorashvili
21 Ejuke
9 Ure
30 Ángel

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 O. Vlachodimos G
2 Juan Iglesias D
12 A. Sangante D
4 Kike Salas D
17 G. Suazo D
8 G. Kochorashvili M
6 L. Agoumé M
18 Jon Guridi M
30 Miguel Ángel F
9 R. Ure F
21 C. Ejuke F

Substitutes

14 Manu Bueno M
22 José Ángel Carmona D
3 Julio Díaz del Romo D
10 Peque Fernández F
24 Y. Fofana M
7 Alfon González F
13 Fran González G
5 Andrés Castrín D
34 Iker Ortín Muñoz D
16 Isaac F
19 L. Stassin F
20 Félix Correia F

Espanyol

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Manolo González
13 Dmitrović
21 Hinojo
6 Cabrera
14 Núñez
23 Hilali
8 Expósito
20 Moscardo
24 Dolan
28 Hernandez
22 Calatrava
9 Fernández

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 M. Dmitrović G
23 O. El Hilali D
14 Unai Núñez D
6 L. Cabrera D
21 Roger Hinojo D
20 Gabriel Moscardo M
8 Edu Expósito M
22 Álex Calatrava M
28 Javier Hernandez M
24 T. Dolan M
9 Roberto Fernández F

Substitutes

17 Jofre Carreras F
26 Rafel Bauzà M
16 V. Drkušić D
18 Marcos Fernández F
1 Ángel Fortuño G
4 Urko González M
3 Q. Hartman D
10 Pol Lozano M
32 José Ángel D
11 Pere Milla M
5 C. Riedel D
15 Bryan Zaragoza F

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