Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 3

Post on X

Valencia

Away

AI call Deportivo La Coruna or draw

36%

33%

30%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia prediction: Sportiko gives Deportivo La Coruna a 36% chance of winning, Valencia 30% and the draw 33%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 19:29.

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Under 2.5 Goals 73%

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Timeline

César Tárrega Own Goal

13' ⚽ 1–0

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang assist: Mario Soriano

17' ⚽ 2–0

⚽ 2–1 26'

Umar Sadiq

HT 2–1

Mouctar Diakhaby Own Goal

59' ⚽ 3–1

⇄ 60'

Ryunosuke Sato ⇄ Hugo Duro

⇄ 60'

Luis Rioja ⇄ David Otorbi

⇄ 60'

Javier Guerra ⇄ Arnaut Danjuma

▮ 64'

Mouctar Diakhaby Yellow Card

Riki Rodríguez ⇄ Teun Gijselhart

64' ⇄

⇄ 66'

Pepelu ⇄ Aliou Dieng

Luismi Cruz ⇄ Yeremay Hernández

73' ⇄

Mario Soriano ⇄ Adrià Altimira

73' ⇄

⇄ 82'

Arnau Martínez ⇄ Dani Raba

Ximo Navarro ⇄ Miguel Loureiro

83' ⇄

Bil Nsongo ⇄ Jonathan Asp Jensen

83' ⇄

Adrià Altimira Yellow Card

90+3' ▮

Adrià Altimira Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

Adrià Altimira Red Card

90+4' ▮

FT 3–1

Deportivo La Coruna

Match Stats

Valencia

45% Ball Possession 55%

1.42 Expected Goals (xG) 1.22

11 Total Shots 11

4 Shots on Goal 3

5 Shots off Goal 4

2 Blocked Shots 4

5 Shots insidebox 6

6 Shots outsidebox 5

5 Corner Kicks 5

1 Offsides 3

13 Fouls 6

0 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

450 Total passes 544

378 Passes accurate 467

84% Passes % 86%

-2.30 goals_prevented -2.30

Deportivo La Coruna

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang F	7.9	93'	1	–	4	22 (18%)	–
21 Mario Soriano M	7.5	73'	–	1	1	57 (56%)	2
16 Lorenzo Amatucci M	7.2	93'	–	–	–	51 (45%)	5
12 Giacomo Quagliata D	7.0	93'	–	–	–	36 (28%)	1
2 Adrià Altimira D	7.0	20'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	2
10 Yeremay Hernández F	6.9	20'	–	–	–	5 (2%)	2
22 Bright Ede D	6.7	93'	–	–	–	56 (51%)	2
32 Bil Nsongo F	6.7	83'	–	–	1	25 (17%)	2
4 Lucas Noubi D	6.6	93'	–	–	–	44 (39%)	–
19 Luismi Cruz M	6.6	73'	–	–	–	34 (32%)	2
15 Miguel Loureiro D	6.5	10'	–	–	–	3	–
14 Riki Rodríguez M	6.5	64'	–	–	–	38 (31%)	–
18 Jonathan Asp Jensen M	6.3	10'	–	–	1	1 (1%)	–
13 Leo Román G	6.3	93'	–	–	–	36 (23%)	–
23 Ximo Navarro D	6.2	83'	–	–	2	36 (31%)	–
34 Teun Gijselhart M	6.2	29'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–

Valencia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
6 Umar Sadiq F	7.7	93'	1	–	1	13 (11%)	1
23 Filip Ugrinić M	6.9	93'	–	–	2	72 (68%)	4
18 Pepelu M	6.9	66'	–	–	–	47 (42%)	2
7 Arnaut Danjuma F	6.7	33'	–	–	2	11 (7%)	1
19 Dani Raba F	6.7	11'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	–
27 David Otorbi F	6.7	33'	–	–	–	21 (19%)	–
22 Arnau Martínez D	6.3	82'	–	–	–	63 (59%)	1
1 Stole Dimitrievski G	6.3	93'	–	–	–	34 (21%)	–
21 Jesús Vázquez D	6.3	93'	–	–	–	41 (36%)	2
15 Aliou Dieng M	6.3	27'	–	–	–	25 (22%)	1
8 Javier Guerra M	6.2	60'	–	–	2	27 (22%)	1
9 Hugo Duro F	6.2	33'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	–
39 Ryunosuke Sato M	6.2	60'	–	–	–	23 (19%)	1
4 Mouctar Diakhaby D	6.2	93'	–	–	–	64 (54%)	2
11 Luis Rioja D	5.9	60'	–	–	–	21 (16%)	–
5 César Tárrega D	5.3	93'	–	–	–	63 (56%)	2

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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

Our lean

Deportivo La Coruna or draw

Most likely score

0:0 · 18.4%

Both teams to score

37%

Over 2.5 goals

27%

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Deportivo La Coruna

DLDWW

Valencia

LWLLL

Last 3 meetings Deportivo La Coruna · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash between Deportivo La Coruna and Valencia, both teams will be looking to secure vital points early in the season. Deportivo has shown resilience at the back, with a defensive record that suggests they can contain opposing attacks. Meanwhile, Valencia will rely on their attacking prowess, having averaged 1.8 goals per game last season. The matchup could hinge on Deportivo's ability to neutralize Valencia's forward threats, while the visitors will aim to exploit any defensive lapses. Overall, this match promises to be a tightly contested affair.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

36%

10%

Draw

33%

45%

Away

30%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Valencia goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	18	12	6	2
1	14	15	6	2
2	7	6	3	1
3	2	2	1
4	1
5

↑ Deportivo La Coruna goals · most likely 0–0 (18.4%)

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Players in form

Deportivo La Coruna

P. Aubameyang 5 gls

Valencia

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

36%

Draw

33%

Away Win

30%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

89%

3.5

11%

97%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

36%

Draw

33%

Away Win

30%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

54% Home (No Draw) 46% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

13% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Equal Goals 34% Home Scores More 29% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

89%

3.5

11%

97%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

26%

29%

16%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

55% Even Total Goals 45% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	18.4%	12.5%	6.0%	1.7%	0.4%
1	14.0%	15.1%	5.7%	1.6%	0.3%
2	7.4%	6.3%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
3	2.3%	2.0%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.5%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

49%

33%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Deportivo La Coruna	Draw	Valencia
Deportivo La Coruna	15.8%	2.9%	0.8%
Draw	17.8%	26.8%	12.2%
Valencia	1.7%	4.7%	17.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia

0 Deportivo La Coruna Wins

0 Draws

3 Valencia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 May 2018	Valencia	2 - 1	Deportivo La Coruna
13 Jan 2018	Deportivo La Coruna	1 - 2	Valencia
02 Apr 2017	Valencia	3 - 0	Deportivo La Coruna

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Deportivo La Coruna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Betis	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	H Sevilla	L	0 - 1
13 Sep	A Getafe	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Villarreal	W	2 - 3
30 Aug	H Valencia	W	3 - 1

Valencia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
15 Sep	A Alaves	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	A Sevilla	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Barcelona	L	0 - 5
30 Aug	A Deportivo La Coruna	L	3 - 1

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Valencia

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: Carlos Corberan

1 Dimitrievski

21 Vázquez

4 Diakhaby

5 Tárrega

22 Martínez

11 Rioja

8 Guerra

18 Pepelu

23 Ugrinić

6 Sadiq

39 Sato

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Stole Dimitrievski	G
11	Luis Rioja	D
22	Arnau Martínez	D
5	César Tárrega	D
4	Mouctar Diakhaby	D
21	Jesús Vázquez	D
23	Filip Ugrinić	M
18	Pepelu	M
8	Javier Guerra	M
39	Ryunosuke Sato	F
6	Umar Sadiq	F

Substitutes

25	Kayne van Oevelen	G
14	José Luis Gayà	D
36	Iker Cordoba	D
29	Alejandro Panach Olmo	D
20	Dimitri Foulquier	D
15	Aliou Dieng	M
38	Jaume Durá	M
33	Aaron Mayol	D
7	Arnaut Danjuma	F
27	David Otorbi	F
9	Hugo Duro	F
19	Dani Raba	F