Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 1

26 Aug 2026, 19:00

Post on X

Real Sociedad

Away

AI call Difficult Real Madrid win or draw

58%

25%

17%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction: Sportiko gives Real Madrid a 58% chance of winning, Real Sociedad 17% and the draw 25%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:43.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.9%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Real Madrid

DWWWW

Real Sociedad

LWDLD

Last 3 meetings Real Madrid · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In this La Liga clash, Real Madrid faces Real Sociedad, with both teams showing strong form in the lead-up to the match. Real Madrid has been prolific in attack, averaging 2.5 goals per game this season, while their defense has conceded just 0.8 goals per game. Real Sociedad, known for their disciplined defensive structure, will need to capitalize on set pieces and counter-attacks to threaten Madrid's backline. Expect a tactical battle, where Madrid's attacking prowess will be tested against Sociedad's resilience.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Real Sociedad goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	4	3	1
1	9	12	5	2
2	10	10	5	2
3	7	6	3	1
4	3	3	2
5	1	1	1

↑ Real Madrid goals · most likely 1–1 (11.9%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

25%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

25%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

77% Home (No Draw) 23% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

58% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	4.1%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
1	9.5%	11.9%	5.1%	1.7%	0.4%
2	10.4%	10.1%	4.9%	1.6%	0.4%
3	6.7%	6.5%	3.1%	1.0%	0.3%
4	3.2%	3.1%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

32%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Real Madrid	Draw	Real Sociedad
Real Madrid	43.1%	5.2%	1.7%
Draw	14.6%	14.8%	7.8%
Real Sociedad	1.6%	2.8%	8.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

71%

2.5

29%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad

3 Real Madrid Wins

0 Draws

0 Real Sociedad Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Feb 2026	Real Madrid	4 - 1	Real Sociedad
13 Sep 2025	Real Sociedad	1 - 2	Real Madrid
24 May 2025	Real Madrid	2 - 0	Real Sociedad

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Real Madrid — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Fiorentina	D	2 - 2
28 Jul	H Leganes	W	2 - 1
23 May	H Athletic Club	W	4 - 2
17 May	A Sevilla	W	0 - 1
14 May	H Oviedo	W	2 - 0

Real Sociedad — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 Jul	A Toulouse	L	2 - 1
25 Jul	A Wolves	W	1 - 2
23 May	A Espanyol	D	1 - 1
17 May	H Valencia	L	3 - 4
14 May	A Girona	D	1 - 1

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Atletico Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Elche	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Levante	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Deportivo La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Real Betis	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.