Valencia vs Celta Vigo Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 2

22 Aug 2026, 17:30

Post on X

Celta Vigo

Away

Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia

AI call Difficult Celta Vigo win or draw

17%

28%

55%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Valencia vs Celta Vigo prediction: Sportiko gives Valencia a 17% chance of winning, Celta Vigo 55% and the draw 28%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:43.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Valencia

DLWWD

Celta Vigo

WWWDL

Last 3 meetings Valencia · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Valencia faces Celta Vigo in La Liga on August 22, 2026. Valencia has historically performed well at home, but recent form shows inconsistency, with a 50% win rate in their last five matches. Celta Vigo, known for their attacking prowess, has scored an average of 1.5 goals per match this season. Both teams will look to solidify their positions early in the campaign, making this a crucial encounter. Key players to watch include Valencia's top scorer and Celta's creative midfielder, as their performances could tip the scales.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Celta Vigo goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	14	12	6	3	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	3	4	4	2	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Valencia goals · most likely 0–1 (13.6%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

55%

Draw

28%

Home Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

55%

Draw

28%

Home Win

17%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

77% Away (No Draw) 23% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 17% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.0%	13.6%	12.0%	6.4%	2.5%
1	5.8%	13.1%	9.3%	4.9%	2.0%
2	2.8%	4.5%	3.6%	1.9%	0.8%
3	0.7%	1.2%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Valencia	Draw	Celta Vigo
Valencia	9.1%	3.6%	2.1%
Draw	7.3%	18.9%	20.0%
Celta Vigo	0.9%	3.7%	34.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Valencia vs Celta Vigo

1 Valencia Wins

0 Draws

2 Celta Vigo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Apr 2026	Valencia	2 - 3	Celta Vigo
03 Jan 2026	Celta Vigo	4 - 1	Valencia
02 Feb 2025	Valencia	2 - 1	Celta Vigo

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Valencia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Stoke City	D	1 - 1
25 Jul	H Castellón	L	1 - 2
23 May	H Barcelona	W	3 - 1
17 May	A Real Sociedad	W	3 - 4
14 May	H Rayo Vallecano	D	1 - 1

Celta Vigo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Aug	A Sassuolo	W	1 - 4
25 Jul	H Sporting Gijon	W	1 - 0
23 May	H Sevilla	W	1 - 0
17 May	A Athletic Club	D	1 - 1
12 May	H Levante	L	2 - 3

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Atletico Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Elche	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Levante	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Deportivo La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Real Betis	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.