Racing Santander vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 1

16 Aug 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Villarreal

Away

AI call Racing Santander to win

63%

24%

13%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Racing Santander vs Villarreal prediction: Sportiko gives Racing Santander a 63% chance of winning, Villarreal 13% and the draw 24%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:44.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 12.8%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Racing Santander

DLLLL

Villarreal

WWLLD

Last 3 meetings Racing Santander · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Racing Santander will face Villarreal in what promises to be an intriguing La Liga clash. Villarreal, typically a strong contender, boasts a more robust squad depth and attacking options, which could prove decisive. Santander's defensive organization will be tested against Villarreal's dynamic forwards. Recent form indicates that both teams may struggle for consistency, making early goal-scoring crucial. Expect a tightly contested match where tactical discipline will be key for Santander to secure a positive result.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

63%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

13%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Villarreal goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	4	2
1	12	11	4	1
2	13	10	4	1
3	8	6	2	1
4	4	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Racing Santander goals · most likely 2–0 (12.8%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

24%

Away Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

24%

Away Win

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

83% Home (No Draw) 17% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

39% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 13% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	3.9%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
1	11.9%	11.4%	3.8%	1.0%	0.2%
2	12.8%	9.8%	3.7%	0.9%	0.2%
3	8.3%	6.3%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%
4	4.0%	3.1%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Racing Santander	Draw	Villarreal
Racing Santander	41.6%	3.3%	0.8%
Draw	21.0%	15.2%	5.5%
Villarreal	2.4%	3.3%	7.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

47%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Racing Santander vs Villarreal

1 Racing Santander Wins

2 Draws

0 Villarreal Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Apr 2012	Villarreal	1 - 1	Racing Santander
03 Dec 2011	Racing Santander	1 - 0	Villarreal
27 Feb 2011	Racing Santander	2 - 2	Villarreal

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Racing Santander — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Alaves	D	1 - 1
01 Aug	A Wolves	L	3 - 0
29 Jul	H Athletic Club	L	0 - 3
24 Jul	A Osasuna	L	2 - 0
21 Mar	H Albacete	L	0 - 4

Villarreal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
25 Jul	A PSV Eindhoven	W	1 - 3
24 May	H Atletico Madrid	W	5 - 1
17 May	A Rayo Vallecano	L	2 - 0
13 May	H Sevilla	L	2 - 3
10 May	A Mallorca	D	1 - 1

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Atletico Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Elche	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Levante	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Deportivo La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Real Betis	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.