Alaves vs Getafe Prediction
Alaves vs Getafe prediction: Sportiko gives Alaves a 42% chance of winning, Getafe 25% and the draw 33%. Last updated 15 Aug 2026, 19:33.
Premium picks
Premium- Home or Draw 75%
- Home to Score 71%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
- 1st Half Draw or Away 71%
Match Report
Alaves claimed a comfortable 3–0 victory over Getafe in this La Liga opener, though the scoreline only came to life in the final stages of a tightly contested affair. The first half ended goalless despite Alaves carrying the greater threat, and Getafe's task was made significantly harder when Kiko Femenia was shown a red card just before the interval, leaving them to defend with ten men for the entire second period.
Alaves made their numerical advantage count, though Getafe's stubborn defensive shape kept them at bay until the 73rd minute, when Nahuel Tenaglia broke the deadlock. The hosts' expected goals figure of 1.81 against Getafe's 0.23 underlined their dominance in terms of clear-cut chances, with 18 total shots to Getafe's six telling a similar story. Mariano Diaz then added a second in stoppage time, before a third goal arrived moments later in the 90th minute to seal a convincing final margin.
The result was the most likely outcome according to our pre-match AI model, which had rated an Alaves win at 42%. Alaves take three points from their opening fixture, while Getafe face an early setback heading into the campaign.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Alaves
Match Stats
Alaves
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Mariano Diaz F | 9.3 | 42' | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 (3%) | – |
| 14 Nahuel Tenaglia D | 8.7 | 99' | 1 | – | 1 | 61 (52%) | 2 |
| 18 Mikel Rodriguez M | 8.0 | 42' | 1 | – | 2 | 14 (8%) | 3 |
| 17 Jonny Otto D | 7.0 | 99' | – | – | – | 31 (28%) | 2 |
| 1 Antonio Sivera G | 6.9 | 99' | – | – | – | 21 (15%) | – |
| 7 Ángel Pérez M | 6.9 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 11 (9%) | 2 |
| 3 Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim D | 6.9 | 34' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | 2 |
| 21 Abderrahman Rebbach M | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 16 (8%) | 5 |
| 8 Antonio Blanco M | 6.7 | 94' | – | – | 3 | 42 (39%) | 1 |
| 4 Denis Suarez M | 6.7 | 57' | – | – | 1 | 26 (18%) | – |
| 11 Toni Martínez F | 6.6 | 99' | – | – | 3 | 13 (9%) | 1 |
| 16 Ville Koski D | 6.6 | 99' | – | – | – | 55 (50%) | – |
| 20 Aitor Mañas F | 6.5 | 57' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 19 Pablo Ibáñez M | 6.3 | 99' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | – |
| 10 Carles Aleñá M | — | 5' | – | – | 1 | 7 (7%) | – |
| 6 Ander Guevara M | — | 5' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
Getafe
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 David Soria G | 7.0 | 99' | – | – | – | 28 (16%) | – |
| 23 Orel Mangala M | 6.7 | 99' | – | – | – | 37 (31%) | 3 |
| 11 Ramón Terrats M | 6.7 | 99' | – | – | 2 | 29 (23%) | – |
| 2 Djené D | 6.7 | 81' | – | – | – | 37 (33%) | – |
| 6 Mario Martín M | 6.6 | 66' | – | – | – | 22 (20%) | 1 |
| 24 Zaid Romero D | 6.5 | 99' | – | – | – | 37 (35%) | 1 |
| 19 Enes Ünal F | 6.5 | 54' | – | – | 1 | 17 (11%) | – |
| 3 Davinchi M | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 10 (5%) | 1 |
| 5 Abdelkabir Abqar D | 6.3 | 99' | – | – | – | 31 (22%) | 2 |
| 10 Martín Satriano F | 6.2 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 18 (10%) | – |
| 21 Andrés García F | 6.2 | 81' | – | – | – | 24 (21%) | 1 |
| 4 Saba Sazonov D | 6.2 | 18' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | 1 |
| 28 Alberto Risco M | 6.2 | 33' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | 2 |
| 15 Sebastián Boselli D | 5.9 | 18' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 26 Jean Ives Valou D | 5.6 | 26' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 17 Kiko Femenia M | 5.3 | 42' | – | – | – | 30 (27%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
L. Boyé
4 gls
M. Díaz
3 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Alaves vs Getafe
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb 2026 | Alaves | 0 - 2 | Getafe |
| 24 Sep 2025 | Getafe | 1 - 1 | Alaves |
| 09 Feb 2025 | Alaves | 0 - 1 | Getafe |
Alaves — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Athletic Club | D | 0 - 0 |
| 15 Sep | H Valencia | L | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Racing Santander | L | 2 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Osasuna | W | 5 - 2 |
| 28 Aug | H Villarreal | W | 1 - 0 |
Getafe — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Malaga | W | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Sep | A Real Betis | L | 1 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | H Deportivo La Coruna | D | 1 - 1 |
| 07 Sep | H Celta Vigo | D | 1 - 1 |
| 31 Aug | A Osasuna | L | 1 - 0 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Alaves
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Quique Sanchez Flores
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonio Sivera | G |
| 14 | Nahuel Tenaglia | D |
| 16 | Ville Koski | D |
| 17 | Jonny Otto | D |
| 7 | Ángel Pérez | M |
| 19 | Pablo Ibáñez | M |
| 8 | Antonio Blanco | M |
| 4 | Denis Suárez | M |
| 21 | Abderrahman Rebbach | M |
| 11 | Toni Martínez | F |
| 20 | Aitor Mañas | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | Adrián Rodríguez | G |
| 31 | Grégoire Swiderski | G |
| 24 | Moussa Diarra | D |
| 12 | Hugo Novoa | F |
| 23 | Carlos Benavídez | M |
| 27 | Xanet Olaiz | D |
| 3 | Youssef Enriquez | D |
| 6 | Ander Guevara | M |
| 22 | Miguel Rodríguez | F |
| 18 | Mikel Rodriguez | M |
| 10 | Carles Aleñá | M |
| 9 | Mariano Díaz | F |
Getafe
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Jose Bordalas Jimenez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | David Soria | G |
| 2 | Djené | D |
| 5 | Abdel Abqar | D |
| 24 | Zaid Romero | D |
| 17 | Kiko Femenía | M |
| 11 | Ramón Terrats | M |
| 23 | Orel Mangala | M |
| 6 | Mario Martín | M |
| 3 | Davinchi | M |
| 21 | Andrés García | F |
| 10 | Martín Satriano | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Jiří Letáček | G |
| 35 | Diego Ferrer | G |
| 4 | Saba Sazonov | D |
| 22 | Johan Mojica | D |
| 15 | Sebastián Boselli | D |
| 26 | Jean Ives Valou | D |
| 28 | Alberto Risco | M |
| 9 | Borja Mayoral | F |
| 19 | Enes Ünal | F |
| 27 | Ebrahima Drammeh Jaiteh | M |