Everton vs Brentford Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 22

23 Jan 2027, 15:00

Post on X

Brentford

Away

AI call Difficult Brentford win or draw

17%

30%

53%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Everton vs Brentford prediction: Sportiko gives Everton a 17% chance of winning, Brentford 53% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 15.3%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Everton

WWDDD

Brentford

WWDDD

Last 3 meetings Everton · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Everton will host Brentford in a Premier League clash on January 23, 2027. Everton has shown a tendency to control possession, averaging 55% in their recent matches, while Brentford relies on a counter-attacking style, often exploiting spaces left by opponents. Everton's defensive record has been solid, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game, while Brentford's scoring rate stands at approximately 1.5 goals per match. This matchup could hinge on Everton's ability to break down Brentford's organized defense and the effectiveness of Brentford's counter-attacks. Both teams will look to secure crucial points as they navigate the league's competitive landscape.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

17%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

53%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Brentford goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	13	15	12	6	2	1
1	7	14	9	4	1
2	3	4	3	1	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Everton goals · most likely 0–1 (15.3%)

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Players in form

Everton

No scorer data.

Brentford

K. Schade 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

53%

Draw

30%

Home Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

53%

Draw

30%

Home Win

17%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

76% Away (No Draw) 24% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 17% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.4%	15.3%	12.1%	5.8%	2.1%
1	6.8%	13.6%	8.6%	4.1%	1.5%
2	3.0%	4.3%	3.0%	1.5%	0.5%
3	0.7%	1.0%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Everton	Draw	Brentford
Everton	9.4%	3.6%	1.8%
Draw	7.6%	21.1%	19.9%
Brentford	0.8%	3.5%	32.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

49%

35%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Everton vs Brentford

0 Everton Wins

2 Draws

1 Brentford Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Apr 2026	Brentford	2 - 2	Everton
04 Jan 2026	Everton	2 - 4	Brentford
26 Feb 2025	Brentford	1 - 1	Everton

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Everton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Ipswich	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	H Wolves	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	A Tottenham	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Manchester United	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Bournemouth	D	1 - 1

Brentford — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Chelsea	W	3 - 0
15 Sep	A Reading	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Bournemouth	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Sunderland	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Leeds	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.