Brentford vs Brighton Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 21

16 Jan 2027, 15:00

Post on X

Brighton

Away

AI call Brighton or draw

31%

32%

38%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Brentford vs Brighton prediction: Sportiko gives Brentford a 31% chance of winning, Brighton 38% and the draw 32%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.9%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Brentford

WWDDD

Brighton

WWWDL

Last 3 meetings Brentford · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Brentford faces Brighton, both teams showcasing solid form this season. Brentford has been effective at home, averaging 1.8 goals per match, while Brighton's away performance has seen them secure crucial points with a strong midfield presence. Key players to watch include Brentford's Ivan Toney, who has been prolific in front of goal, and Brighton's Kaoru Mitoma, known for his pace and creativity. The match could hinge on set-pieces, where Brentford excels, against Brighton’s organized defense. Expect a closely contested encounter with both teams eager to capitalize on their strengths.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

31%

10%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

38%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Brighton goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	10	7	3	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	6	7	4	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Brentford goals · most likely 1–1 (14.9%)

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Players in form

Brentford

K. Schade 3 gls

Brighton

P. Groß 3 gls

C. Kostoulas 2 gls

M. Yalcouyé 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Draw

32%

Home Win

31%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Draw

32%

Home Win

31%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

55% Away (No Draw) 45% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Away Scores More 32% Equal Goals 31% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.6%	10.4%	7.5%	3.1%	0.9%
1	9.0%	14.9%	8.1%	3.3%	1.0%
2	5.9%	7.2%	4.4%	1.8%	0.6%
3	2.1%	2.6%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.6%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Brentford	Draw	Brighton
Brentford	17.9%	4.4%	1.8%
Draw	12.4%	20.8%	14.8%
Brighton	1.6%	4.3%	22.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Brentford vs Brighton

1 Brentford Wins

0 Draws

2 Brighton Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Feb 2026	Brentford	0 - 2	Brighton
22 Nov 2025	Brighton	2 - 1	Brentford
19 Apr 2025	Brentford	4 - 2	Brighton

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Brentford — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Chelsea	W	3 - 0
15 Sep	A Reading	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Bournemouth	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Sunderland	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Leeds	D	1 - 1

Brighton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Arsenal	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	A Manchester United	W	2 - 3
13 Sep	A Coventry	W	0 - 5
05 Sep	H Leeds	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Chelsea	L	4 - 3

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.