Liverpool vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 21

16 Jan 2027, 15:00

Post on X

Crystal Palace

Away

Anfield, Liverpool

AI call Liverpool or draw

38%

30%

32%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Liverpool vs Crystal Palace prediction: Sportiko gives Liverpool a 38% chance of winning, Crystal Palace 32% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Liverpool

WWDWW

Crystal Palace

DWLWW

Last 3 meetings Liverpool · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Liverpool faces Crystal Palace. Liverpool's attack has been potent, averaging 2.5 goals per game this season, bolstered by their high possession rate of around 65%. Crystal Palace, known for their counter-attacking style, has struggled defensively, conceding 1.6 goals per match. The match will likely hinge on Liverpool's ability to break down Palace's defense while minimizing vulnerabilities during transitions. Keeping an eye on key players like Mohamed Salah could be crucial for Liverpool's success.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

38%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

32%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Crystal Palace goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	8	6	2	1
1	9	14	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Liverpool goals · most likely 1–1 (14.4%)

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Players in form

Liverpool

A. Isak 4 gls

Crystal Palace

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

32%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

32%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

54% Home (No Draw) 46% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 32% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	7.9%	5.8%	2.3%	0.7%
1	9.0%	14.4%	7.7%	3.1%	0.9%
2	7.1%	8.5%	5.1%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.1%	3.8%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.0%	1.3%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Liverpool	Draw	Crystal Palace
Liverpool	22.7%	4.5%	1.8%
Draw	14.4%	19.1%	12.5%
Crystal Palace	2.0%	4.5%	18.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Liverpool vs Crystal Palace

1 Liverpool Wins

1 Draws

1 Crystal Palace Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Apr 2026	Liverpool	3 - 1	Crystal Palace
27 Sep 2025	Crystal Palace	2 - 1	Liverpool
25 May 2025	Liverpool	1 - 1	Crystal Palace

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Liverpool — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bournemouth	W	0 - 1
15 Sep	H Tottenham	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	H Fulham	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Ipswich	W	0 - 2

Crystal Palace — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Leeds	D	0 - 0
17 Sep	H Lech Poznan	W	4 - 0
12 Sep	H Ipswich	L	2 - 3
08 Sep	H Middlesbrough	W	3 - 0
05 Sep	A Fulham	W	2 - 3

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.