Everton vs Aston Villa Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 20

06 Jan 2027, 20:00

Post on X

Aston Villa

Away

AI call Difficult Aston Villa win or draw

11%

26%

63%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Everton vs Aston Villa prediction: Sportiko gives Everton a 11% chance of winning, Aston Villa 63% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 17.3%

Both teams to score

35%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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Everton

WWDDD

Aston Villa

WWLWD

Last 3 meetings Everton · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Everton will host Aston Villa in a Premier League clash on January 6, 2027. Both teams have shown contrasting forms, with Everton struggling for consistency while Aston Villa has been solid in their recent outings. Key players to watch include Everton's attacking threats and Villa's strong defensive setup. The match could hinge on Everton's ability to convert chances against a disciplined Villa defense. Overall, this encounter promises to be competitive, with both sides vying for crucial points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

11%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

63%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Aston Villa goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	13	17	15	8	3	1
1	5	11	8	5	2	1
2	2	3	2	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Everton goals · most likely 0–1 (17.3%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

26%

Home Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

26%

Home Win

11%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

86% Away (No Draw) 14% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 11% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.6%	17.3%	15.3%	8.4%	3.5%
1	4.8%	11.4%	8.3%	4.6%	1.9%
2	1.6%	2.7%	2.2%	1.2%	0.5%
3	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Everton	Draw	Aston Villa
Everton	5.6%	2.9%	1.7%
Draw	5.0%	18.8%	22.4%
Aston Villa	0.5%	2.9%	40.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

58%

31%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Everton vs Aston Villa

1 Everton Wins

1 Draws

1 Aston Villa Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Jan 2026	Aston Villa	0 - 1	Everton
13 Sep 2025	Everton	0 - 0	Aston Villa
15 Jan 2025	Everton	0 - 1	Aston Villa

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Everton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Ipswich	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	H Wolves	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	A Tottenham	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Manchester United	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Bournemouth	D	1 - 1

Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Tottenham	W	2 - 3
16 Sep	A Coventry	W	1 - 3
12 Sep	H Nottingham Forest	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Club Brugge KV	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Hull City	D	0 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.