Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 19

02 Jan 2027, 15:00

Post on X

Newcastle

Away

Stamford Bridge, London

AI call Chelsea to win or draw

68%

24%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Chelsea vs Newcastle prediction: Sportiko gives Chelsea a 68% chance of winning, Newcastle 8% and the draw 24%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

Premium picks

Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — the AI's sharpest picks across all 70+ markets are Premium.

73%

See Premium picks

Free account

Unlock all of today's AI predictions — free

You've seen today's free previews. Create a free account for the AI call, win probabilities and confidence on every match — plus follow your teams and get the daily digest.

Already have an account? Log in

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Chelsea vs Newcastle

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 17.6%

Both teams to score

33%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Chelsea

LDWLW

Newcastle

WLWDW

Last 3 meetings Chelsea · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Chelsea will face Newcastle on January 2, 2027. Chelsea has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.1 goals per match this season, while Newcastle boasts a potent attack with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match. Both teams have strengths in midfield control, but Chelsea's ability to dominate possession could be pivotal. Newcastle will need to exploit counter-attacking opportunities to challenge Chelsea's defense effectively. This match promises to be tightly contested, with both teams vying for crucial points in their respective league campaigns.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Newcastle goals →

	0	1	2
0	12	4	1
1	18	10	2
2	17	8	2
3	10	5	1
4	4	2	1
5	2	1

↑ Chelsea goals · most likely 1–0 (17.6%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Chelsea

João Pedro 3 gls

M. Rogers 3 gls

C. Palmer 2 gls

Newcastle

J. Willock 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

24%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

24%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

89% Home (No Draw) 11% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

41% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

68% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 8% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.7%	3.9%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
1	17.6%	10.2%	2.2%	0.4%	0.0%
2	16.7%	8.0%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%
3	9.9%	4.8%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
4	4.4%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

24%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Chelsea	Draw	Newcastle
Chelsea	39.6%	2.1%	0.3%
Draw	27.2%	17.2%	3.8%
Newcastle	2.3%	2.9%	4.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

62%

30%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Chelsea vs Newcastle

0 Chelsea Wins

1 Draws

2 Newcastle Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Mar 2026	Chelsea	0 - 1	Newcastle
20 Dec 2025	Newcastle	2 - 2	Chelsea
11 May 2025	Newcastle	2 - 0	Chelsea

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Chelsea — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Brentford	L	3 - 0
12 Sep	H Hull City	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	H Leeds	W	6 - 3
06 Sep	A Arsenal	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H Brighton	W	4 - 3

Newcastle — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Hull City	W	2 - 1
14 Sep	A Leeds	L	4 - 1
08 Sep	A Millwall	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Bournemouth	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Tottenham	W	0 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.