Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 19

02 Jan 2027, 15:00

Post on X

Aston Villa

Away

AI call Bournemouth or draw

48%

29%

24%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa prediction: Sportiko gives Bournemouth a 48% chance of winning, Aston Villa 24% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Bournemouth

LWDWD

Aston Villa

WWLWD

Last 3 meetings Bournemouth · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Bournemouth faces Aston Villa in a crucial Premier League clash, both teams seeking valuable points in the mid-season. Bournemouth has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in their last five outings, while Aston Villa's attacking form has been potent, registering 12 goals in the same period. The matchup will largely hinge on Bournemouth's ability to tighten their defense and contain Villa's dynamic attack, especially with the likes of Ollie Watkins in form. Both teams will be eager to capitalize on any defensive lapses, making this a potentially high-scoring encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Aston Villa goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	6	4	1
1	10	14	6	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Bournemouth goals · most likely 1–1 (13.7%)

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Players in form

Bournemouth

M. Tavernier 3 gls

Aston Villa

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

29%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

29%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

67% Home (No Draw) 33% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	6.2%	4.0%	1.4%	0.4%
1	10.2%	13.7%	6.3%	2.1%	0.6%
2	9.2%	9.5%	4.9%	1.7%	0.4%
3	4.8%	4.9%	2.5%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.9%	1.9%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bournemouth	Draw	Aston Villa
Bournemouth	29.6%	4.2%	1.4%
Draw	17.3%	18.1%	9.6%
Aston Villa	2.3%	4.2%	13.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

0 Bournemouth Wins

1 Draws

2 Aston Villa Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Feb 2026	Bournemouth	1 - 1	Aston Villa
09 Nov 2025	Aston Villa	4 - 0	Bournemouth
10 May 2025	Bournemouth	0 - 1	Aston Villa

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Bournemouth — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Liverpool	L	0 - 1
17 Sep	A Real Sociedad	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Brentford	D	2 - 2
08 Sep	H Lincoln	W	4 - 0
05 Sep	A Newcastle	D	2 - 2

Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Tottenham	W	2 - 3
16 Sep	A Coventry	W	1 - 3
12 Sep	H Nottingham Forest	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Club Brugge KV	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Hull City	D	0 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.