Brentford vs Newcastle Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 16

19 Dec 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Newcastle

Away

AI call Brentford to win

79%

18%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Brentford vs Newcastle prediction: Sportiko gives Brentford a 79% chance of winning, Newcastle 4% and the draw 18%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

23%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Brentford

WWDDD

Newcastle

WLWDW

Last 3 meetings Brentford · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Brentford will face Newcastle in a Premier League clash on December 19, 2026. Both teams have shown contrasting styles this season; Brentford relies on high pressing and quick transitions, while Newcastle has employed a more possession-based approach. Brentford's home form has been solid, with a strong defensive record, which could challenge Newcastle's attacking prowess led by their key forwards. Conversely, Newcastle's resilience in away matches has been notable, often capitalizing on counter-attacks. This matchup could hinge on Brentford's ability to disrupt Newcastle's possession and exploit any defensive lapses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

79%

45%

Draw

18%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Newcastle goals →

	0	1	2
0	10	2
1	19	7	1
2	20	6	1
3	14	4	1
4	8	2
5	3	1

↑ Brentford goals · most likely 2–0 (20.4%)

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Players in form

Brentford

K. Schade 3 gls

Newcastle

J. Willock 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

80%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

96% Home (No Draw) 4% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

53% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

79% Home Scores More 18% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

80%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

21%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	2.0%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
1	18.7%	6.6%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.4%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	14.3%	4.3%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	7.5%	2.3%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

36%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Brentford	Draw	Newcastle
Brentford	53.8%	1.4%	0.1%
Draw	24.8%	13.2%	1.8%
Newcastle	1.3%	1.6%	2.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

88%

39%

1.5

61%

66%

2.5

34%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Brentford vs Newcastle

2 Brentford Wins

0 Draws

1 Newcastle Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Feb 2026	Newcastle	2 - 3	Brentford
09 Nov 2025	Brentford	3 - 1	Newcastle
02 Apr 2025	Newcastle	2 - 1	Brentford

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Brentford — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Chelsea	W	3 - 0
15 Sep	A Reading	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Bournemouth	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Sunderland	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Leeds	D	1 - 1

Newcastle — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Hull City	W	2 - 1
14 Sep	A Leeds	L	4 - 1
08 Sep	A Millwall	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Bournemouth	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Tottenham	W	0 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.