Brighton vs Everton Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 15

12 Dec 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Everton

Away

AI call Difficult Brighton win or draw

56%

28%

16%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Brighton vs Everton prediction: Sportiko gives Brighton a 56% chance of winning, Everton 16% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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71%

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Brighton

WWWDL

Everton

WWDDD

Last 3 meetings Brighton · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Brighton faces Everton in a Premier League clash on December 12, 2026. Brighton has shown a strong attacking form this season, averaging 1.8 goals per match, while Everton has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game. Brighton’s midfield, highlighted by their high possession rate (around 60%), will likely control the tempo, challenging Everton's ability to transition effectively. Both teams will be eager for points, but Brighton’s offensive prowess may give them the edge in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

56%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

16%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Everton goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	6	3	1
1	14	13	4	1
2	12	9	3	1
3	7	5	2
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Brighton goals · most likely 1–0 (13.9%)

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Players in form

Brighton

P. Groß 3 gls

C. Kostoulas 2 gls

M. Yalcouyé 2 gls

Everton

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

28%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

28%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

78% Home (No Draw) 22% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 16% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.1%	5.7%	2.7%	0.7%	0.1%
1	13.9%	13.0%	4.3%	1.1%	0.2%
2	12.3%	9.2%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%
3	6.6%	4.9%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%
4	2.6%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Brighton	Draw	Everton
Brighton	35.1%	3.6%	0.9%
Draw	20.1%	18.8%	7.0%
Everton	2.1%	3.6%	8.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

47%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Brighton vs Everton

0 Brighton Wins

1 Draws

2 Everton Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
31 Jan 2026	Brighton	1 - 1	Everton
24 Aug 2025	Everton	2 - 0	Brighton
25 Jan 2025	Brighton	0 - 1	Everton

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Brighton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Arsenal	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	A Manchester United	W	2 - 3
13 Sep	A Coventry	W	0 - 5
05 Sep	H Leeds	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Chelsea	L	4 - 3

Everton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Ipswich	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	H Wolves	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	A Tottenham	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Manchester United	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Bournemouth	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.