Liverpool vs Leeds Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 15

12 Dec 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Leeds

Away

Anfield, Liverpool

AI call Difficult Liverpool win or draw

51%

28%

21%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Liverpool vs Leeds prediction: Sportiko gives Liverpool a 51% chance of winning, Leeds 21% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Liverpool

WWDWW

Leeds

DWLDD

Last 3 meetings Liverpool · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League match, Liverpool will face Leeds. Liverpool's strong attacking lineup, featuring key players like Mohamed Salah and Darwin Núñez, has consistently produced high goal tallies, averaging 2.5 goals per game this season. Conversely, Leeds has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, which may expose them to Liverpool's offensive prowess. The matchup will heavily depend on Leeds’ ability to tighten their defense and capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities. Overall, Liverpool's form and offensive capabilities position them as strong favorites in this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

51%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

21%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Leeds goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	5	4	1
1	10	13	6	2	1
2	10	10	5	2
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Liverpool goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Liverpool

A. Isak 4 gls

Leeds

D. Calvert-Lewin 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

28%

Away Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

28%

Away Win

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

70% Home (No Draw) 30% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

51% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 21% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.4%	5.5%	3.5%	1.2%	0.3%
1	10.0%	13.2%	5.9%	2.0%	0.5%
2	9.6%	9.7%	4.9%	1.7%	0.4%
3	5.4%	5.4%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
4	2.2%	2.3%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Liverpool	Draw	Leeds
Liverpool	32.0%	4.2%	1.4%
Draw	17.9%	17.2%	8.7%
Leeds	2.4%	4.1%	12.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Liverpool vs Leeds

0 Liverpool Wins

2 Draws

1 Leeds Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
02 Aug 2026	Liverpool	2 - 4	Leeds
01 Jan 2026	Liverpool	0 - 0	Leeds
06 Dec 2025	Leeds	3 - 3	Liverpool

See all 9 meetings — Premium

Liverpool — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bournemouth	W	0 - 1
15 Sep	H Tottenham	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	H Fulham	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Ipswich	W	0 - 2

Leeds — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Crystal Palace	D	0 - 0
14 Sep	H Newcastle	W	4 - 1
09 Sep	A Chelsea	L	6 - 3
05 Sep	A Brighton	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	H Brentford	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.