Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 14

05 Dec 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Liverpool

Away

Stamford Bridge, London

AI call Chelsea or draw

44%

30%

26%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction: Sportiko gives Chelsea a 44% chance of winning, Liverpool 26% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Chelsea

LDWLW

Liverpool

WWDWW

Last 3 meetings Chelsea · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash between Chelsea and Liverpool, both teams are expected to showcase their attacking prowess. Chelsea's recent form has been bolstered by a strong home record, while Liverpool has demonstrated resilience away from Anfield. Key players to watch include Chelsea's midfield dynamo and Liverpool's prolific forward, both of whom can change the course of the match. Historically, matches between these two teams have been tightly contested, often featuring high-intensity play and tactical battles. Expect a closely fought encounter with potential playoff implications for both sides.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Liverpool goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	7	5	2
1	11	14	7	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ Chelsea goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

Chelsea

João Pedro 3 gls

M. Rogers 3 gls

C. Palmer 2 gls

Liverpool

A. Isak 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

30%

Away Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

30%

Away Win

26%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

63% Home (No Draw) 37% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	7.2%	4.6%	1.6%	0.4%
1	10.6%	14.3%	6.5%	2.2%	0.6%
2	8.8%	9.0%	4.7%	1.6%	0.4%
3	4.2%	4.3%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.5%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Chelsea	Draw	Liverpool
Chelsea	24.0%	3.5%	1.2%
Draw	18.9%	19.3%	9.8%
Liverpool	2.8%	5.0%	15.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Chelsea vs Liverpool

2 Chelsea Wins

1 Draws

0 Liverpool Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 May 2026	Liverpool	1 - 1	Chelsea
04 Oct 2025	Chelsea	2 - 1	Liverpool
04 May 2025	Chelsea	3 - 1	Liverpool

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Chelsea — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Brentford	L	3 - 0
12 Sep	H Hull City	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	H Leeds	W	6 - 3
06 Sep	A Arsenal	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H Brighton	W	4 - 3

Liverpool — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bournemouth	W	0 - 1
15 Sep	H Tottenham	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	H Fulham	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Ipswich	W	0 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.