Leeds vs Coventry Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 12

28 Nov 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Coventry

Away

AI call Difficult Coventry win or draw

19%

26%

55%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Leeds vs Coventry prediction: Sportiko gives Leeds a 19% chance of winning, Coventry 55% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.2%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Leeds

DWLDD

Coventry

WLLLL

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash between Leeds and Coventry, both teams will be looking to secure crucial points as the season progresses. Leeds has shown a strong attacking front, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while Coventry's defense has been inconsistent, allowing 1.5 goals per game. Leeds will aim to exploit this vulnerability, especially through their wingers who have been pivotal in creating chances. Conversely, Coventry will need to bolster their midfield to control the tempo and limit Leeds' attacking opportunities. This match could hinge on Leeds' ability to convert chances against a shaky Coventry defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

19%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

55%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Coventry goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	9	10	6	3	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	3	6	5	3	1	1
3	1	2	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Leeds goals · most likely 1–1 (12.2%)

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Players in form

Leeds

D. Calvert-Lewin 3 gls

Coventry

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

55%

Draw

26%

Home Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

55%

Draw

26%

Home Win

19%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

74% Away (No Draw) 26% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 19% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	9.1%	9.7%	6.0%	2.8%
1	4.4%	12.2%	10.0%	6.2%	2.9%
2	3.0%	5.6%	5.2%	3.2%	1.5%
3	1.0%	1.9%	1.8%	1.1%	0.5%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Leeds	Draw	Coventry
Leeds	10.9%	4.0%	2.7%
Draw	7.8%	15.5%	18.4%
Coventry	1.4%	4.1%	35.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Away Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Leeds vs Coventry

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Leeds — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Crystal Palace	D	0 - 0
14 Sep	H Newcastle	W	4 - 1
09 Sep	A Chelsea	L	6 - 3
05 Sep	A Brighton	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	H Brentford	D	1 - 1

Coventry — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Nottingham Forest	W	0 - 1
16 Sep	H Aston Villa	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	H Brighton	L	0 - 5
05 Sep	A Manchester City	L	1 - 0
29 Aug	H Hull City	L	0 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.