Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 12
28 Nov 2026, 15:00
Post on X
Emirates Stadium, London
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At a glance

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Arsenal
WWWDW
Manchester City
LWLDL
Last 3 meetings Arsenal · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Arsenal will face Manchester City at their home ground. Arsenal's offensive statistics show a strong attacking record, averaging 2.1 goals per match, while Manchester City boasts a solid defensive unit, conceding only 0.8 goals per match. Both teams are currently among the top four in possession, with City slightly leading at 62% compared to Arsenal's 58%. The outcome may hinge on Arsenal's ability to break down City's compact defense and capitalize on set pieces, where they have found success this season. Expect a tactical battle with both teams aiming to secure crucial points in the title race.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
66%
10%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
12%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Arsenal
K. Havertz 3 gls
M. Ødegaard 3 gls
Manchester City
E. Haaland 9 gls
R. Cherki 5 gls

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Head to Head: Arsenal vs Manchester City

1 Arsenal Wins
0 Draws
2 Manchester City Wins
Date Home Score Away
16 Aug 2026 Arsenal 3 - 0 Manchester City
19 Apr 2026 Manchester City 2 - 1 Arsenal
22 Mar 2026 Arsenal 0 - 2 Manchester City
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Arsenal — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Hull City W 1 - 0
04 Nov A Slavia Praha W 1 - 2
01 Nov A Liverpool W 0 - 1
27 Oct A Fleetwood Town D 1 - 1
24 Oct H Everton W 2 - 0

Manchester City — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Nottingham Forest L 3 - 1
04 Nov A RB Leipzig W 2 - 3
31 Oct H Brighton L 0 - 1
28 Oct H Brighton D 2 - 2
24 Oct A Aston Villa L 2 - 1

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal
10 9 0 1 +10 27
2
Brighton
10 7 1 2 +19 22
3
Manchester City
10 7 0 3 +8 21
4
Liverpool
10 5 3 2 +4 18
5
Chelsea
10 5 1 4 +3 16
6
Everton
10 4 4 2 +2 16
7
Bournemouth
10 4 3 3 +2 15
8
Brentford
10 3 5 2 +5 14
9
Leeds
10 3 5 2 +2 14
10
Aston Villa
10 3 4 3 -3 13
11
Tottenham
10 3 3 4 -1 12
12
Newcastle
10 3 3 4 -3 12
13
Hull City
10 2 5 3 0 11
14
Ipswich
10 3 2 5 -5 11
15
Fulham
10 2 4 4 -2 10
16
Nottingham Forest
10 2 3 5 -4 9
17
Coventry
10 3 0 7 -9 9
18
Manchester United
10 1 5 4 -5 8
19
Sunderland
10 2 2 6 -9 8
20
Crystal Palace
10 2 1 7 -14 7

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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