Sunderland vs Chelsea Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 10

07 Nov 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Chelsea

Away

Stadium of Light, Sunderland

AI call Difficult Chelsea win or draw

10%

25%

65%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Sunderland vs Chelsea prediction: Sportiko gives Sunderland a 10% chance of winning, Chelsea 65% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 16.8%

Both teams to score

35%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Sunderland

LWLWD

Chelsea

LDWLW

Last 3 meetings Sunderland · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Sunderland faces Chelsea in a Premier League clash that promises to be intriguing. Chelsea, known for their attacking prowess, has averaged 2.0 goals per match this season, while Sunderland has struggled defensively, conceding 1.5 goals per match. The key matchup will be Chelsea's midfield, which has been dominant in possession, against Sunderland's ability to disrupt play. If Sunderland can tighten their defense and capitalize on set pieces, they may have a chance to secure a result against the visitors. Overall, Chelsea's form and offensive capabilities make them the favorites heading into this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

65%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Chelsea goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12	17	16	9	4	1
1	4	11	8	5	2	1
2	2	3	2	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Sunderland goals · most likely 0–1 (16.8%)

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Players in form

Sunderland

B. Brobbey 3 gls

Chelsea

João Pedro 3 gls

M. Rogers 3 gls

C. Palmer 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

65%

Draw

25%

Home Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

65%

Draw

25%

Home Win

10%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

87% Away (No Draw) 13% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

38% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

65% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 10% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.8%	16.8%	15.6%	8.9%	3.8%
1	4.4%	11.1%	8.4%	4.8%	2.1%
2	1.5%	2.6%	2.3%	1.3%	0.6%
3	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sunderland	Draw	Chelsea
Sunderland	5.7%	3.3%	2.4%
Draw	4.4%	17.9%	26.2%
Chelsea	0.4%	2.3%	37.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

58%

31%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

78%

0.5

22%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sunderland vs Chelsea

2 Sunderland Wins

0 Draws

1 Chelsea Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 May 2026	Sunderland	2 - 1	Chelsea
25 Oct 2025	Chelsea	1 - 2	Sunderland
21 May 2017	Chelsea	5 - 1	Sunderland

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Sunderland — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Manchester City	L	5 - 3
16 Sep	H AZ Alkmaar	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Arsenal	L	0 - 2
08 Sep	H Hull City	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	A Brentford	D	1 - 1

Chelsea — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Brentford	L	3 - 0
12 Sep	H Hull City	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	H Leeds	W	6 - 3
06 Sep	A Arsenal	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H Brighton	W	4 - 3

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.