Brighton vs Brentford Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 10

07 Nov 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Brentford

Away

AI call Brighton or draw

47%

30%

23%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Brighton vs Brentford prediction: Sportiko gives Brighton a 47% chance of winning, Brentford 23% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Brighton

WWWDL

Brentford

WWDDD

Last 3 meetings Brighton · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Brighton faces Brentford in an intriguing Premier League clash. Brighton has shown a solid home form, emphasizing possession-based play and creating numerous chances, ranking in the top half for expected goals (xG). Conversely, Brentford boasts a strong away record, particularly in counter-attacking scenarios, often capitalizing on defensive lapses. Both teams possess quality in attack, but Brighton's ability to control the game may give them a slight edge, while Brentford's resilience on the road could prove challenging. This match will likely hinge on Brighton's ability to break down Brentford's defensive setup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

47%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

23%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Brentford goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	7	4	1
1	11	14	6	2
2	9	9	4	1
3	5	4	2	1
4	2	2	1
5

↑ Brighton goals · most likely 1–1 (14.2%)

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Players in form

Brighton

P. Groß 3 gls

C. Kostoulas 2 gls

M. Yalcouyé 2 gls

Brentford

K. Schade 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

30%

Away Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

30%

Away Win

23%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

67% Home (No Draw) 33% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.7%	7.0%	4.2%	1.3%	0.3%
1	11.5%	14.2%	6.0%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.5%	9.1%	4.4%	1.4%	0.3%
3	4.6%	4.4%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.7%	1.6%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Brighton	Draw	Brentford
Brighton	28.5%	4.1%	1.3%
Draw	17.4%	19.5%	9.7%
Brentford	2.1%	4.2%	13.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Brighton vs Brentford

2 Brighton Wins

0 Draws

1 Brentford Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Feb 2026	Brentford	0 - 2	Brighton
22 Nov 2025	Brighton	2 - 1	Brentford
19 Apr 2025	Brentford	4 - 2	Brighton

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Brighton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Arsenal	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	A Manchester United	W	2 - 3
13 Sep	A Coventry	W	0 - 5
05 Sep	H Leeds	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Chelsea	L	4 - 3

Brentford — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Chelsea	W	3 - 0
15 Sep	A Reading	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Bournemouth	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Sunderland	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Leeds	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.