Arsenal vs Hull City Prediction
Arsenal vs Hull City prediction: Sportiko gives Arsenal a 83% chance of winning, Hull City 4% and the draw 13%. Last updated 7 Nov 2026, 16:56.
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Match Report
Arsenal edged past Hull City 1–0 at the Emirates in a match that took until the second half to produce its decisive moment. The first half was largely uneventful despite Arsenal's dominance, with a VAR review cancelling a penalty for Kai Havertz just before the break. Hull showed discipline defensively but were restricted to minimal attacking output, finishing with just two shots on target across the entire game.
The second half saw a flurry of bookings and substitutions disrupt the flow, with Hull collecting several yellow cards as they struggled to contain Arsenal's pressure. Martin Ødegaard finally broke the deadlock on 72 minutes with a composed finish, rewarding Arsenal's sustained superiority. The Gunners finished with 67% possession, 20 total shots, and an expected goals figure of 1.01 compared to Hull's 0.36, underlining their control throughout.
The result was the outcome our pre-match AI model considered most likely, having assigned an 83% probability to an Arsenal win. Arsenal move further up the Premier League table, while Hull remain under pressure in the lower reaches of the standings.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Arsenal
Match Stats
Arsenal
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Martin Ødegaard M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 79 (65%) | – |
| 15 Ezri Konsa D | 7.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 53 (51%) | 1 |
| 33 Riccardo Calafiori D | 7.5 | 69' | – | – | – | 31 (28%) | – |
| 12 J. Timber D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (49%) | 2 |
| 6 Gabriel Magalhães D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (50%) | 1 |
| 23 Mikel Merino M | 7.2 | 27' | – | – | 2 | 13 (12%) | 2 |
| 20 Noni Madueke M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 46 (39%) | – |
| 39 Bruno Guimarães M | 7.1 | 89' | – | – | 2 | 92 (82%) | 3 |
| 5 Piero Hincapié D | 7.0 | 21' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | 1 |
| 1 David Raya G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (28%) | – |
| 10 Eberechi Eze M | 6.9 | 21' | – | – | 2 | 13 (12%) | – |
| 36 Martín Zubimendi M | 6.8 | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 41 Declan Rice M | 6.8 | 63' | – | – | 3 | 47 (36%) | – |
| 14 Viktor Gyökeres F | 6.6 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 17 Christos Tzolis M | 6.5 | 69' | – | – | 4 | 18 (14%) | – |
| 29 Kai Havertz F | 6.4 | 63' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | – |
Hull City
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Konstantinos Tzolakis G | 8.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (15%) | 1 |
| 6 Semi Ajayi D | 7.4 | 69' | – | – | 2 | 20 (17%) | 3 |
| 15 John Egan D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 20 (15%) | 1 |
| 22 Lucas Herrington D | 6.7 | 21' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | 1 |
| 42 Tim Iroegbunam M | 6.6 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 15 (11%) | 1 |
| 27 Regan Slater M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 13 (9%) | 1 |
| 36 Christos Mouzakitis M | 6.4 | 15' | – | – | – | 10 (10%) | – |
| 3 Ryan Giles D | 6.4 | 15' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 29 Lucas Gourna-Douath M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (25%) | 1 |
| 9 Oli McBurnie F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (15%) | 1 |
| 11 J. Gelhardt F | 6.2 | 30' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | – |
| 50 Mohamed-Ali Cho F | 6.1 | 60' | – | – | 1 | 7 (4%) | – |
| 32 Nobel Mendy D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (18%) | 1 |
| 18 Brooke Norton-Cuffy D | 6.0 | 29' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 21 Elliot Stroud D | 5.9 | 75' | – | – | 2 | 17 (14%) | – |
| 2 Lewie Coyle D | 5.8 | 61' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | 1 |
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At a glance
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Upgrade NowMatch summary
Live insights
Min 75: Arsenal leads 1-0. Win probability: 94.9%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 5.1%.
Goal! Score now 1-0. Arsenal win: 94.6%. BTTS: 9.5%.
Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 80.5%. Over 1.5 remaining: 50.9%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
K. Havertz
3 gls
M. Belloumi
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Arsenal vs Hull City
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2017 | Arsenal | 2 - 0 | Hull City |
| 17 Sep 2016 | Hull City | 1 - 4 | Arsenal |
| 04 May 2015 | Hull City | 1 - 3 | Arsenal |
Arsenal — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Hull City | W | 1 - 0 |
| 04 Nov | A Slavia Praha | W | 1 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | A Liverpool | W | 0 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | A Fleetwood Town | D | 1 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Everton | W | 2 - 0 |
Hull City — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Arsenal | L | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Ipswich | D | 2 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | H Brentford | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | A Fulham | L | 1 - 0 |
| 11 Oct | H Everton | D | 2 - 2 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |
Everton
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 |
Leeds
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |
Bournemouth
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Tottenham
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Newcastle
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |
Aston Villa
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |
Hull City
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |
Ipswich
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |
Fulham
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |
Coventry
|
10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Manchester United
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |
Crystal Palace
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 |
Sunderland
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 5 |
Arsenal
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Mikel Arteta
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Raya | G |
| 12 | J. Timber | D |
| 15 | E. Konsa | D |
| 6 | Gabriel Magalhães | D |
| 33 | R. Calafiori | D |
| 39 | Bruno Guimarães | M |
| 41 | D. Rice | M |
| 20 | N. Madueke | M |
| 8 | M. Ødegaard | M |
| 17 | C. Tzolis | M |
| 29 | K. Havertz | F |
Substitutes
| 36 | Martín Zubimendi | M |
| 23 | Mikel Merino | M |
| 14 | V. Gyökeres | F |
| 10 | E. Eze | M |
| 13 | Kepa | G |
| 4 | B. White | D |
| 3 | Cristhian Mosquera | D |
| 5 | P. Hincapié | D |
| 49 | M. Lewis-Skelly | D |
Hull City
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: S. Jakirović
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | K. Tzolakis | G |
| 2 | L. Coyle | D |
| 6 | S. Ajayi | D |
| 15 | J. Egan | D |
| 32 | N. Mendy | D |
| 21 | E. Stroud | D |
| 42 | T. Iroegbunam | M |
| 29 | L. Gourna-Douath | M |
| 27 | R. Slater | M |
| 50 | M. Cho | F |
| 9 | O. McBurnie | F |
Substitutes
| 3 | R. Giles | D |
| 22 | L. Herrington | D |
| 7 | S. Thomas | F |
| 11 | J. Gelhardt | F |
| 14 | J. Hjertø-Dahl | M |
| 18 | B. Norton-Cuffy | D |
| 36 | C. Mouzakitis | M |
| 1 | J. Butland | G |
| 47 | R. Vaz | F |