Manchester United vs Aston Villa Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 10

07 Nov 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Aston Villa

Away

Old Trafford, Manchester

AI call Aston Villa or draw

24%

27%

49%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction: Sportiko gives Manchester United a 24% chance of winning, Aston Villa 49% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.8%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Manchester United

DLLWD

Aston Villa

WWLWD

Last 3 meetings Manchester United · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Manchester United will face Aston Villa. Manchester United has been solid at home, boasting a strong attacking unit led by their key forwards, while their defense has shown improvement in recent matches. Aston Villa, known for their counter-attacking prowess, will look to exploit any gaps in United's backline, particularly through their dynamic midfield and forward options. Key battles in midfield and defensive organization will be crucial as both teams aim for valuable points in this competitive matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Aston Villa goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	8	8	5	2	1
1	5	13	10	6	2	1
2	4	7	6	3	1
3	1	3	2	1	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Manchester United goals · most likely 1–1 (12.8%)

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Players in form

Manchester United

Bruno Fernandes 3 gls

Aston Villa

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

27%

Home Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

27%

Home Win

24%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

67% Away (No Draw) 33% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 24% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	8.3%	8.4%	4.8%	2.1%
1	5.1%	12.8%	9.7%	5.6%	2.4%
2	3.8%	6.6%	5.6%	3.2%	1.4%
3	1.5%	2.5%	2.2%	1.3%	0.5%
4	0.4%	0.7%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Manchester United	Draw	Aston Villa
Manchester United	14.0%	4.4%	2.7%
Draw	9.4%	16.2%	17.0%
Aston Villa	1.7%	4.4%	30.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Manchester United vs Aston Villa

2 Manchester United Wins

0 Draws

1 Aston Villa Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Mar 2026	Manchester United	3 - 1	Aston Villa
21 Dec 2025	Aston Villa	2 - 1	Manchester United
25 May 2025	Manchester United	2 - 0	Aston Villa

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Manchester United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Fulham	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	H Brighton	L	2 - 3
13 Sep	H Manchester City	L	0 - 1
10 Sep	H Sabah FA	W	4 - 0
06 Sep	A Everton	D	2 - 2

Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Tottenham	W	2 - 3
16 Sep	A Coventry	W	1 - 3
12 Sep	H Nottingham Forest	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Club Brugge KV	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Hull City	D	0 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.