Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 9

31 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Arsenal

Away

Anfield, Liverpool

AI call Difficult Arsenal win or draw

17%

26%

57%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction: Sportiko gives Liverpool a 17% chance of winning, Arsenal 57% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.5%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Liverpool

WWDWW

Arsenal

LWWWW

Last 3 meetings Liverpool · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In this Premier League clash, Liverpool will face Arsenal, two teams known for their attacking prowess. Liverpool's offensive statistics highlight their strong goal-scoring ability, averaging 2.1 goals per game this season. Conversely, Arsenal has shown resilience in defense, conceding just 0.9 goals per match. Both teams possess the capacity to control midfield, making possession key. Expect a tactical battle, with Liverpool seeking to exploit wide areas while Arsenal may focus on quick transitions. This match could significantly impact both teams' title aspirations.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

17%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

57%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Arsenal goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	11	11	7	3	1
1	5	13	10	6	3	1
2	3	5	4	3	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Liverpool goals · most likely 1–1 (12.5%)

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Players in form

Liverpool

A. Isak 4 gls

Arsenal

B. Saka 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

57%

Draw

26%

Home Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

57%

Draw

26%

Home Win

17%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

77% Away (No Draw) 23% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 17% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.5%	11.1%	11.2%	6.6%	3.0%
1	4.8%	12.5%	9.9%	5.9%	2.6%
2	2.7%	4.9%	4.3%	2.6%	1.1%
3	0.8%	1.4%	1.3%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Liverpool	Draw	Arsenal
Liverpool	9.6%	3.9%	2.5%
Draw	7.0%	16.5%	19.6%
Arsenal	1.1%	3.7%	36.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Liverpool vs Arsenal

1 Liverpool Wins

2 Draws

0 Arsenal Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Jan 2026	Arsenal	0 - 0	Liverpool
31 Aug 2025	Liverpool	1 - 0	Arsenal
11 May 2025	Liverpool	2 - 2	Arsenal

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Liverpool — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bournemouth	W	0 - 1
15 Sep	H Tottenham	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	H Fulham	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Ipswich	W	0 - 2

Arsenal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Brighton	L	3 - 0
15 Sep	A Ipswich	W	2 - 4
12 Sep	A Sunderland	W	0 - 2
09 Sep	A Napoli	W	0 - 1
06 Sep	H Chelsea	W	2 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.