Bournemouth vs Leeds Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 9

31 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Leeds

Away

AI call Bournemouth to win or draw

75%

20%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Bournemouth vs Leeds prediction: Sportiko gives Bournemouth a 75% chance of winning, Leeds 6% and the draw 20%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 17.9%

Both teams to score

31%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Bournemouth

LWDWD

Leeds

DWLDD

Last 3 meetings Bournemouth · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Bournemouth faces Leeds in a crucial Premier League clash. Both teams have shown fluctuating form, with Bournemouth currently holding a slight edge in home performances, averaging 1.5 goals per match at home this season. Leeds, conversely, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match away. The match will likely hinge on Bournemouth's ability to exploit Leeds' defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining solid organization to counter Leeds' attacking threats. This contest is essential for both clubs as they aim to secure vital points in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

75%

10%

Draw

20%

45%

Away

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Leeds goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	3	1
1	16	8	2
2	18	8	2
3	12	5	1
4	6	3	1
5	3	1

↑ Bournemouth goals · most likely 2–0 (17.9%)

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Players in form

Bournemouth

M. Tavernier 3 gls

Leeds

D. Calvert-Lewin 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

93% Home (No Draw) 7% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

49% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

75% Home Scores More 20% Equal Goals 6% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

19%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	2.6%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
1	16.4%	8.4%	1.6%	0.2%	0.0%
2	17.9%	7.7%	1.7%	0.2%	0.0%
3	12.4%	5.3%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
4	6.4%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bournemouth	Draw	Leeds
Bournemouth	50.8%	2.1%	0.3%
Draw	23.6%	13.8%	2.8%
Leeds	1.7%	2.0%	3.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

65%

28%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

83%

0.5

17%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Bournemouth vs Leeds

1 Bournemouth Wins

2 Draws

0 Leeds Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Apr 2026	Bournemouth	2 - 2	Leeds
27 Sep 2025	Leeds	2 - 2	Bournemouth
30 Apr 2023	Bournemouth	4 - 1	Leeds

See all 4 meetings — Premium

Bournemouth — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Liverpool	L	0 - 1
17 Sep	A Real Sociedad	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Brentford	D	2 - 2
08 Sep	H Lincoln	W	4 - 0
05 Sep	A Newcastle	D	2 - 2

Leeds — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Crystal Palace	D	0 - 0
14 Sep	H Newcastle	W	4 - 1
09 Sep	A Chelsea	L	6 - 3
05 Sep	A Brighton	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	H Brentford	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.