Newcastle vs Everton Prediction
Newcastle vs Everton prediction: Sportiko gives Newcastle a 43% chance of winning, Everton 30% and the draw 27%. Last updated 2 Nov 2026, 21:58.
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Match Report
Everton claimed a hard-fought 1–0 victory at St. James' Park, ending a goalless first half with a decisive early second-half strike. Thierno Barry broke the deadlock just four minutes after the restart, and his goal was swiftly confirmed by VAR, proving to be the only moment of the match that truly mattered. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Newcastle win as the most likely outcome at 43%, a call that ultimately did not hold up.
Despite enjoying 52% of possession and registering 17 total shots, Newcastle managed just two shots on target — a wasteful return that ultimately cost them. Everton, by contrast, were more clinical, posting an expected goals figure of 2.18 against Newcastle's 1.51, suggesting the visitors were the more dangerous side throughout.
The closing stages grew fractious, with Jacob Ramsey receiving two yellow cards in quick succession to be sent off in stoppage time, while Fabian Schär was also booked moments later. Everton held firm to secure a deserved three points on the road.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Newcastle
Match Stats
Newcastle
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sean Steur M | 7.0 | 26' | – | – | – | 33 (32%) | – |
| 5 Fabian Schär D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 57 (46%) | – |
| 21 Lukáš Horníček G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (16%) | – |
| 17 Bazoumana Touré F | 6.7 | 3' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 7 Joelinton M | 6.6 | 75' | – | – | 2 | 44 (40%) | 2 |
| 23 Jacob Murphy M | 6.6 | 14' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 37 Amar Dedić D | 6.4 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 33 (24%) | 2 |
| 9 Yoane Wissa F | 6.4 | 26' | – | – | 2 | 12 (8%) | – |
| 10 William Osula F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 33 Dan Burn D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (35%) | – |
| 19 Anthony Elanga M | 6.2 | 76' | – | – | 2 | 19 (12%) | – |
| 41 Jacob Ramsey M | 6.2 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 8 (8%) | – |
| 3 Lewis Hall D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (29%) | 1 |
| 11 Harvey Barnes M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 26 (21%) | 1 |
| 6 Nico González M | 6.0 | 64' | – | – | – | 37 (33%) | 1 |
| 28 Joe Willock M | 5.9 | 64' | – | – | 2 | 21 (17%) | 1 |
Everton
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Thierno Barry F | 8.2 | 80' | 1 | – | 3 | 8 (7%) | – |
| 4 Jarrad Branthwaite D | 7.6 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 44 (36%) | – |
| 6 James Tarkowski D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (28%) | – |
| 37 James Garner M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 46 (40%) | 4 |
| 8 Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 49 (42%) | 2 |
| 16 Vitaliy Mykolenko D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (29%) | 1 |
| 5 Michael Keane D | 7.0 | 8' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 15 Jake O'Brien D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 35 (26%) | 1 |
| 45 Harrison Armstrong M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 32 (27%) | 1 |
| 1 Jordan Pickford G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (20%) | – |
| 34 Merlin Röhl M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 27 (24%) | – |
| 19 Tyrique George M | 6.6 | 92' | – | – | 2 | 31 (26%) | 1 |
| 22 Brennan Johnson F | 6.5 | 10' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
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At a glance
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Live insights
Min 75: Everton leads 0-1. Win probability: 80.9%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 19.1%.
Goal! Score now 0-1. Everton win: 67.3%. BTTS: 51.3%.
Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 75.4%. Over 1.5 remaining: 44.8%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
No scorer data.
T. Barry
6 gls
K. Dewsbury-Hall
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Newcastle vs Everton
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct 2026 | Everton | 3 - 1 | Newcastle |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Newcastle | 1 - 3 | Everton |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Newcastle | 2 - 3 | Everton |
Newcastle — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Fulham | D | 1 - 1 |
| 02 Nov | H Everton | L | 0 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | A Everton | L | 3 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | A Crystal Palace | W | 0 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H Aston Villa | L | 0 - 1 |
Everton — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | H Coventry | W | 3 - 1 |
| 02 Nov | A Newcastle | W | 0 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | H Newcastle | W | 3 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Arsenal | L | 2 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H Chelsea | L | 0 - 2 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |
Everton
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 |
Leeds
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |
Bournemouth
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Tottenham
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Newcastle
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |
Aston Villa
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |
Hull City
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |
Ipswich
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |
Fulham
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |
Coventry
|
10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Manchester United
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |
Crystal Palace
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 |
Sunderland
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 5 |
Newcastle
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Jaissle
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | L. Horníček | G |
| 37 | A. Dedić | D |
| 5 | F. Schär | D |
| 33 | D. Burn | D |
| 3 | L. Hall | D |
| 7 | Joelinton | M |
| 6 | Nico González | M |
| 19 | A. Elanga | M |
| 28 | J. Willock | M |
| 11 | H. Barnes | M |
| 10 | W. Osula | F |
Substitutes
| 17 | B. Touré | F |
| 23 | J. Murphy | M |
| 9 | Y. Wissa | F |
| 41 | J. Ramsey | M |
| 1 | N. Pope | G |
| 4 | S. Botman | D |
| 12 | M. Thiaw | D |
| 8 | A. Bamba | M |
| 14 | Sean Steur | M |
Everton
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: D. Moyes
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Pickford | G |
| 15 | J. O'Brien | D |
| 6 | J. Tarkowski | D |
| 4 | J. Branthwaite | D |
| 16 | V. Mykolenko | D |
| 45 | H. Armstrong | M |
| 37 | J. Garner | M |
| 34 | M. Röhl | M |
| 8 | K. Dewsbury-Hall | M |
| 19 | Tyrique George | M |
| 11 | T. Barry | F |
Substitutes
| 2 | A. Maitland-Niles | M |
| 5 | M. Keane | D |
| 20 | T. Dibling | F |
| 23 | C. Nørgaard | M |
| 24 | C. Alcaraz | M |
| 30 | H. Hackney | M |
| 22 | B. Johnson | F |
| 12 | M. Travers | G |
| 58 | B. Graham | F |