Coventry vs Fulham Prediction

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 8
FT
Post on X
The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, West Midlands
AI call Fulham or draw
35%
28%
37%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Coventry vs Fulham prediction: Sportiko gives Coventry a 35% chance of winning, Fulham 37% and the draw 28%. Last updated 24 Oct 2026, 15:55.

Premium picks

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  • 1st Half Draw or Away 75%
  • Under 3.5 Goals 73%
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Match Report

Coventry dominated possession with 65% of the ball but struggled to convert their territorial advantage into clear-cut chances, with both sides finishing the first half goalless and generating nearly identical expected goals figures across the 90 minutes.

The decisive moment arrived in the 80th minute when Oscar Bobb broke the deadlock for Fulham, converting what proved to be the only goal of the game. Bobb was immediately substituted off just a minute later, having made his impact count. Coventry's Shea Charles had picked up a yellow card in the first half, while Antonee Robinson was booked for Fulham shortly after the goal as both teams made a flurry of changes in the second period.

Despite Coventry's greater share of possession and six corners to Fulham's four, the hosts managed only three shots on target compared to Fulham's two, reflecting a tight and largely uneventful contest decided by a single moment of quality. The result was perhaps against the run of play statistically, though our pre-match AI model had identified a Fulham victory as the most likely outcome at 37%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 36'
Shea Charles Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Bobby Thomas ⇄ S. Mfuni
60' ⇄
⇄ 63'
Hugo Larsson ⇄ Sander Berge
Caleb Yirenkyi ⇄ Frank Onyeka
67' ⇄
Sidiki Cherif ⇄ Taiwo Awoniyi
67' ⇄
Brandon Thomas-Asante ⇄ Ephron Mason-Clark
67' ⇄
⇄ 74'
Gonzalo García ⇄ Rodrigo Muniz
⇄ 74'
Alex Iwobi ⇄ César Palacios
⚽ 0–1 80'
Oscar Bobb assist: Joshua King
⇄ 81'
Oscar Bobb ⇄ Kenny Tete
⇄ 81'
Joshua King ⇄ Tom Cairney
▮ 82'
Antonee Robinson Yellow Card
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto ⇄ Gustavo Hamer
86' ⇄
FT 0–1
Coventry

Match Stats

Fulham
35% Ball Possession 65%
0.58 Expected Goals (xG) 0.61
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Corner Kicks 6
1 Offsides 3
9 Fouls 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
334 Total passes 637
264 Passes accurate 576
11 Free Kicks 9
Coventry
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
2 Ethan Pinnock D 7.2 90' – – 1 21 (18%) 1
3 Jay Dasilva D 7.1 90' – – – 34 (31%) –
4 Bobby Thomas D 6.9 60' – – 2 29 (23%) –
5 Jack Rudoni M 6.8 90' – – 1 33 (26%) 2
27 Milan van Ewijk D 6.7 90' – – 1 33 (26%) –
12 S. Mfuni D 6.7 30' – – 2 15 (12%) –
6 Matt Grimes M 6.6 90' – – 1 53 (46%) –
23 Brandon Thomas-Asante M 6.5 67' – – 3 6 (5%) –
16 Frank Onyeka M 6.5 23' – – – 12 (10%) 2
38 Gustavo Hamer M 6.4 4' – – – 2 (1%) –
7 Tatsuhiro Sakamoto M 6.4 86' – – 1 17 (12%) 3
10 Ephron Mason-Clark M 6.3 23' – – – 6 (4%) –
14 Taiwo Awoniyi F 6.3 23' – – – 2 (2%) –
8 Caleb Yirenkyi M 6.2 67' – – – 28 (22%) –
49 Sidiki Cherif F 6.1 67' – – 1 3 (1%) –
19 Carl Rushworth G 6.1 90' – – – 40 (25%) –
Fulham
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 Oscar Bobb M 8.2 81' 1 – 1 31 (27%) –
24 Joshua King M 7.7 81' – 1 4 38 (35%) –
3 Calvin Bassey D 7.6 90' – – 1 94 (86%) 2
21 Timothy Castagne D 7.4 90' – – 1 50 (47%) 5
22 David Affengruber D 7.4 90' – – – 97 (92%) –
1 Bernd Leno G 7.3 90' – – – 35 (32%) –
16 Sander Berge M 7.2 27' – – – 35 (34%) 1
19 Shea Charles M 7.2 90' – – 1 74 (68%) 2
17 Alex Iwobi M 7.0 74' – – 1 51 (44%) 1
2 Kenny Tete D 7.0 9' – – – 9 (7%) 1
15 Hugo Larsson M 6.9 63' – – – 39 (37%) –
8 César Palacios M 6.8 16' – – – 13 (12%) –
10 Tom Cairney M 6.8 9' – – – 9 (8%) –
33 Antonee Robinson D 6.6 90' – – – 46 (35%) 2
9 Rodrigo Muniz F 6.6 16' – – – 3 (3%) –
7 Gonzalo García F 6.4 74' – – 2 13 (9%) –
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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Our lean
Fulham or draw
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Coventry
LWLLW
Fulham
DDLWW

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Coventry will face Fulham, with both teams looking to secure crucial points. Coventry's recent form shows a mixed bag, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per game but a concerning defensive record, conceding 1.5 goals on average. Fulham, on the other hand, has been more consistent, averaging 1.5 goals scored while conceding 1.1 per game. The match could hinge on Coventry's ability to tighten their defense against Fulham's attacking threats, particularly if they can exploit any defensive lapses. Overall, this fixture promises to be competitive, with both sides eager to improve their standings.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
35%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
37%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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AI match tools

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Head to Head: Coventry vs Fulham

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Coventry — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A Everton L 3 - 1
31 Oct H Sunderland W 3 - 1
24 Oct H Fulham L 0 - 1
19 Oct A Tottenham L 3 - 1
12 Oct H Newcastle W 4 - 1

Fulham — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Newcastle D 1 - 1
31 Oct A Aston Villa D 1 - 1
28 Oct H Crystal Palace L 0 - 1
24 Oct A Coventry W 0 - 1
17 Oct H Hull City W 1 - 0

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal
10 9 0 1 +10 27
2
Manchester City
10 7 0 3 +8 21
3
Brighton
9 6 1 2 +17 19
4
Chelsea
9 5 1 3 +4 16
5
Everton
10 4 4 2 +2 16
6
Liverpool
9 4 3 2 +2 15
7
Brentford
9 3 5 1 +7 14
8
Leeds
10 3 5 2 +2 14
9
Bournemouth
9 3 3 3 +1 12
10
Tottenham
10 3 3 4 -1 12
11
Newcastle
10 3 3 4 -3 12
12
Aston Villa
9 3 3 3 -3 12
13
Hull City
10 2 5 3 0 11
14
Ipswich
9 3 2 4 -4 11
15
Fulham
10 2 4 4 -2 10
16
Nottingham Forest
10 2 3 5 -4 9
17
Coventry
10 3 0 7 -9 9
18
Manchester United
9 1 4 4 -5 7
19
Crystal Palace
9 2 1 6 -12 7
20
Sunderland
9 1 2 6 -10 5

Fulham

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Seong-jae Kim
1 Leno
33 Robinson
3 Bassey
22 Affengruber
21 Castagne
19 Charles
15 Larsson
17 Iwobi
24 King
14 Bobb
7 García

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 B. Leno G
21 T. Castagne D
22 D. Affengruber D
3 C. Bassey D
33 A. Robinson D
15 H. Larsson M
19 S. Charles M
14 Oscar Bobb M
24 Joshua King M
17 A. Iwobi M
7 Gonzalo García F

Substitutes

2 K. Tete D
5 J. Andersen D
16 S. Berge M
10 T. Cairney M
20 Manuel Ángel M
11 Kevin F
8 César Palacios M
9 Rodrigo Muniz F
23 B. Lecomte G

Coventry

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: F. Lampard
19 Rushworth
3 Dasilva
2 Pinnock
4 Thomas
27 Ewijk
8 Yirenkyi
6 Grimes
23 Thomas-Asante
5 Rudoni
7 Sakamoto
49 Cherif

Starting XI

# Player Pos
19 C. Rushworth G
27 M. van Ewijk D
4 B. Thomas D
2 E. Pinnock D
3 J. Dasilva D
6 M. Grimes M
8 Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi M
7 T. Sakamoto M
5 J. Rudoni M
23 B. Thomas-Asante M
49 S. Cherif F

Substitutes

25 D. Bentley G
12 S. Mfuni D
20 K. Kesler-Hayden D
10 E. Mason-Clark M
16 F. Onyeka M
29 V. Torp M
38 G. Hamer M
14 T. Awoniyi F
34 Y. Gboho F

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