Sunderland vs Leeds Prediction
Sunderland vs Leeds prediction: Sportiko gives Sunderland a 32% chance of winning, Leeds 37% and the draw 31%. Last updated 25 Oct 2026, 18:25.
Premium picks
Premium- 1st Half Home or Draw 74%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
- Away to Score 71%
- Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Match Report
Sunderland and Leeds played out a goalless draw at the Stadium of Light in matchday eight of the Premier League, a result that ultimately favoured neither side despite Leeds carrying the greater attacking threat throughout. The visitors edged possession and registered 15 total shots to Sunderland's 11, with their expected goals figure of 1.01 comfortably outstripping the hosts' 0.39, suggesting Leeds were the more dangerous side without finding a way through.
The match was disrupted by a flurry of bookings, with Ethan Ampadu and Reinildo Mandava both collecting yellows before the break, and Jayden Bogle adding a third caution shortly after the hour mark. Both managers turned to their benches in the second half, with notable introductions including Brian Brobbey, Brenden Aaronson, and late arrivals Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Ao Tanaka, but none could break the deadlock.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Leeds win as the most likely outcome at 37%, and while the visitors did not claim the three points, the underlying numbers supported their status as favourites on the day.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Sunderland
Match Stats
Sunderland
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nordi Mukiele D | 7.2 | 52' | – | – | 1 | 22 (19%) | 2 |
| 13 Luke O'Nien D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 36 (26%) | 2 |
| 15 Omar Alderete D | 6.8 | 38' | – | – | – | 16 (11%) | – |
| 9 B. Brobbey F | 6.8 | 65' | – | – | 2 | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 10 Nilson Angulo M | 6.7 | 79' | – | – | 3 | 18 (14%) | 2 |
| 22 R. Roefs G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (12%) | – |
| 57 Timur Tuterov F | 6.6 | 25' | – | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | – |
| 32 Trai Hume D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (29%) | – |
| 34 Granit Xhaka M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (51%) | – |
| 11 Chris Rigg M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 24 (20%) | 2 |
| 28 Enzo Le Fée M | 6.3 | 79' | – | – | 2 | 29 (20%) | – |
| 19 Habib Diarra M | 6.2 | 11' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 27 Noah Sadiki M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (30%) | 2 |
| 7 Chemsdine Talbi F | 6.1 | 11' | – | – | 1 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 17 Reinildo Mandava D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (34%) | – |
Leeds
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 James Trafford G | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (20%) | – |
| 8 Sean Longstaff M | 7.0 | 1' | – | – | 2 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 19 Noah Okafor F | 6.9 | 25' | – | – | 2 | 8 (1%) | – |
| 5 Tarik Muharemović D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 56 (46%) | – |
| 15 Jaka Bijol D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 42 (32%) | 2 |
| 10 Harry Wilson M | 6.7 | 66' | – | – | – | 22 (17%) | 2 |
| 22 Ao Tanaka M | 6.6 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 35 (28%) | 3 |
| 18 Anton Stach M | 6.6 | 24' | – | – | – | 7 (3%) | – |
| 14 Lukas Nmecha F | 6.5 | 5' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 3 Gabriel Gudmundsson M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 22 (18%) | 2 |
| 2 Jayden Bogle M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 29 (19%) | 2 |
| 24 James Justin D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 22 (15%) | 2 |
| 4 Ethan Ampadu M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (41%) | 2 |
| 11 Brenden Aaronson M | 6.1 | 65' | – | – | – | 13 (8%) | – |
| 9 Dominic Calvert-Lewin F | 6.1 | 85' | – | – | – | 13 (9%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
B. Brobbey
3 gls
D. Calvert-Lewin
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Sunderland vs Leeds
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | Sunderland | 0 - 1 | Leeds |
| 03 Mar 2026 | Leeds | 0 - 1 | Sunderland |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 1 - 1 | Leeds |
Sunderland — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Dinamo Zagreb | L | 0 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Coventry | L | 3 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | H Brentford | W | 3 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | H Leeds | D | 0 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | A Lech Poznan | D | 1 - 1 |
Leeds — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Tottenham | W | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Bournemouth | L | 2 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | A Sunderland | D | 0 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | H Manchester United | D | 1 - 1 |
| 10 Oct | A Arsenal | L | 2 - 1 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |
Everton
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 |
Leeds
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |
Bournemouth
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Tottenham
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Newcastle
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |
Aston Villa
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |
Hull City
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |
Ipswich
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |
Fulham
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |
Coventry
|
10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Manchester United
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |
Crystal Palace
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 |
Sunderland
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 5 |
Leeds
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: D. Farke
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Trafford | G |
| 24 | J. Justin | D |
| 15 | J. Bijol | D |
| 5 | T. Muharemović | D |
| 2 | J. Bogle | M |
| 4 | E. Ampadu | M |
| 22 | A. Tanaka | M |
| 3 | G. Gudmundsson | M |
| 10 | H. Wilson | M |
| 11 | B. Aaronson | M |
| 9 | D. Calvert-Lewin | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | M. Zetterer | G |
| 26 | M. Bard | D |
| 18 | A. Stach | M |
| 50 | Alfie Cresswell | M |
| 8 | S. Longstaff | M |
| 44 | I. Gruev | M |
| 14 | L. Nmecha | F |
| 19 | N. Okafor | F |
| 23 | J. Bahoya | F |
Sunderland
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: R. Le Bris
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | R. Roefs | G |
| 32 | T. Hume | D |
| 20 | N. Mukiele | D |
| 13 | L. O'Nien | D |
| 17 | Reinildo | D |
| 34 | G. Xhaka | M |
| 27 | N. Sadiki | M |
| 11 | C. Rigg | M |
| 28 | E. Le Fée | M |
| 10 | N. Angulo | M |
| 9 | B. Brobbey | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | M. Ellborg | G |
| 19 | H. Diarra | M |
| 15 | O. Alderete | D |
| 29 | Jules Ahoka | M |
| 6 | D. Methalie | D |
| 50 | J. Angulo | F |
| 7 | C. Talbi | F |
| 39 | M. Fofana | F |
| 57 | Timur Tuterov | F |