Hull City vs Brentford Prediction
Hull City vs Brentford prediction: Sportiko gives Hull City a 19% chance of winning, Brentford 56% and the draw 25%. Last updated 25 Oct 2026, 15:53.
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Match Report
Hull City and Brentford shared the spoils in a 1–1 draw at the MKM Stadium, though Brentford will feel they had the better of the contest overall. The Bees dominated early possession but it was Hull who struck first, Oli McBurnie converting a penalty on 24 minutes, just a minute after Aaron Hickey had been shown a yellow card. Hull carried that lead into the break with their hosts unable to find a way through despite the territorial pressure.
Brentford responded decisively after the restart, with substitute Dango Ouattara levelling almost immediately after coming on, restoring parity on 63 minutes. The equaliser sparked a flurry of changes from both sides as the game opened up, though neither team could find a winner despite Hull registering six shots on goal to Brentford's two.
The xG figures — 1.87 for Hull and 1.95 for Brentford — reflected a closely contested affair, and while our pre-match AI model had rated a Brentford win as most likely at 56%, the Bees ultimately had to settle for a point on the road.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Hull City
Match Stats
Hull City
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Semi Ajayi D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | 6 |
| 50 Mohamed-Ali Cho F | 7.2 | 25' | – | – | 1 | 8 (6%) | 1 |
| 19 Konstantinos Tzolakis G | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (16%) | – |
| 9 Oli McBurnie F | 7.1 | 86' | 1 | – | 1 | 16 (7%) | – |
| 47 Robinio Vaz F | 6.9 | 4' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 22 Lucas Herrington D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (26%) | 2 |
| 10 Mohamed Belloumi M | 6.7 | 86' | – | – | 4 | 38 (26%) | 2 |
| 18 Brooke Norton-Cuffy D | 6.6 | 25' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | 2 |
| 2 Lewie Coyle D | 6.6 | 65' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | 3 |
| 15 John Egan D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 17 (10%) | 1 |
| 27 Regan Slater M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 39 (32%) | 1 |
| 21 Elliot Stroud M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (22%) | 6 |
| 3 Ryan Giles D | 6.4 | 65' | – | – | – | 11 (7%) | 1 |
| 5 Hidemasa Morita M | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 11 J. Gelhardt F | 6.3 | 4' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 42 Tim Iroegbunam M | 6.2 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 27 (20%) | 3 |
Brentford
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dango Ouattara M | 7.3 | 78' | 1 | – | 4 | 21 (12%) | – |
| 24 Mikkel Damsgaard M | 7.1 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 21 (19%) | 2 |
| 33 Michael Kayode D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (30%) | 2 |
| 19 Jaidon Anthony F | 7.0 | 28' | – | – | 2 | 10 (7%) | – |
| 9 Igor Thiago F | 6.9 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 20 (11%) | 3 |
| 4 Sepp van den Berg D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 52 (46%) | – |
| 20 Kristoffer Ajer D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (39%) | 1 |
| 18 Mamadou Sangare M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 77 (66%) | 4 |
| 1 Caoimhin Kelleher G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (22%) | – |
| 2 Aaron Hickey M | 6.5 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 38 (35%) | 1 |
| 8 Mathias Jensen M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (31%) | 2 |
| 13 Callum Wilson F | 6.4 | 12' | – | – | 1 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 25 El Hadji Malick Diouf D | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 23 Keane Lewis-Potter D | 6.1 | 78' | – | – | – | 35 (27%) | – |
| 7 Kevin Schade M | 6.1 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 8 (6%) | 1 |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
M. Belloumi
3 gls
K. Schade
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Hull City vs Brentford
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Hull City — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Arsenal | L | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Ipswich | D | 2 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | H Brentford | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | A Fulham | L | 1 - 0 |
| 11 Oct | H Everton | D | 2 - 2 |
Brentford — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | H Nottingham Forest | W | 2 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | A Sunderland | L | 3 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Hull City | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | H Liverpool | L | 1 - 2 |
| 10 Oct | A Aston Villa | D | 2 - 2 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |
Everton
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 |
Leeds
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |
Bournemouth
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Tottenham
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Newcastle
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |
Aston Villa
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |
Hull City
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |
Ipswich
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |
Fulham
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |
Coventry
|
10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Manchester United
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |
Crystal Palace
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 |
Sunderland
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 5 |
Brentford
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Keith Andrews
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Kelleher | G |
| 33 | M. Kayode | D |
| 4 | S. van den Berg | D |
| 20 | K. Ajer | D |
| 23 | K. Lewis-Potter | D |
| 18 | M. Sangaré | M |
| 2 | A. Hickey | M |
| 11 | D. Ouattara | M |
| 8 | M. Jensen | M |
| 7 | K. Schade | M |
| 9 | Thiago | F |
Substitutes
| 39 | Gustavo Gomes | F |
| 13 | C. Wilson | F |
| 24 | M. Damsgaard | M |
| 19 | J. Anthony | F |
| 44 | Jannik Schuster | D |
| 48 | B. Fredrick | D |
| 25 | E. Diouf | D |
| 22 | N. Collins | D |
| 12 | H. Valdimarsson | G |
Hull City
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: S. Jakirović
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | K. Tzolakis | G |
| 2 | L. Coyle | D |
| 6 | S. Ajayi | D |
| 15 | J. Egan | D |
| 22 | L. Herrington | D |
| 3 | R. Giles | D |
| 10 | M. Belloumi | M |
| 42 | T. Iroegbunam | M |
| 27 | R. Slater | M |
| 21 | E. Stroud | M |
| 9 | O. McBurnie | F |
Substitutes
| 50 | M. Cho | F |
| 47 | R. Vaz | F |
| 25 | M. Crooks | M |
| 18 | B. Norton-Cuffy | D |
| 11 | J. Gelhardt | F |
| 7 | S. Thomas | F |
| 5 | H. Morita | M |
| 17 | P. McNair | D |
| 12 | D. Phillips | G |