Chelsea vs Tottenham Prediction
Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction: Sportiko gives Chelsea a 50% chance of winning, Tottenham 24% and the draw 25%. Last updated 24 Oct 2026, 18:25.
Premium picks
Premium- Home or Draw 76%
- Away to Score 72%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 71%
Match Report
Chelsea dominated possession throughout but were unable to convert their superiority into goals, as a goalless first half gave little indication of the drama that would follow after the break. Despite controlling 69% of the ball and registering 15 shots to Tottenham's seven, Chelsea's expected goals figure of just 0.8 reflected their struggles to create clear-cut chances.
The second half unravelled badly for the hosts. A chaotic spell around the 70-minute mark saw five yellow cards distributed across both sides, before Chelsea's afternoon took a decisive turn when Cole Palmer was shown a red card on 80 minutes. Sandwiched between the bookings, an own goal from Mike Penders on 77 minutes handed Tottenham the lead against the run of play, and substitute Mathys Tel sealed the victory with a clinical finish three minutes from time.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Chelsea win as the most likely outcome at 50%, a call that proved wide of the mark. Tottenham, despite their limited possession and just four shots on target, showed ruthless efficiency to claim all three points.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Chelsea
Match Stats
Chelsea
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Levi Colwill D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (43%) | 3 |
| 5 Maxence Lacroix D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (25%) | 2 |
| 18 Danny Welbeck F | 6.7 | 2' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 21 J. Hato M | 6.5 | 65' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | 4 |
| 25 Moisés Caicedo M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (25%) | 2 |
| 41 Estêvão F | 6.4 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 34 Josh Acheampong D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 12 (5%) | 3 |
| 7 Pedro Neto M | 6.2 | 88' | – | – | 2 | 12 (10%) | 3 |
| 2 Marco Palestra D | 6.1 | 25' | – | – | – | 5 (2%) | – |
| 23 Geovany Quenda M | 6.1 | 72' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | 2 |
| 14 Jordan Henderson M | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 27 (17%) | 1 |
| 10 Cole Palmer M | 5.8 | 80' | – | – | 2 | 19 (15%) | – |
| 17 Morgan Rogers F | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 19 (14%) | 1 |
| 39 Mike Penders G | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (20%) | – |
Tottenham
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mathys Tel M | 8.2 | 89' | 1 | – | 2 | 39 (33%) | – |
| 6 J. van Hecke D | 7.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 95 (81%) | 2 |
| 31 Antonín Kinský G | 7.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (35%) | – |
| 14 Archie Gray D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (29%) | 2 |
| 3 Andy Robertson D | 7.2 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 51 (42%) | – |
| 23 Pedro Porro D | 7.2 | 25' | – | – | 1 | 13 (10%) | – |
| 37 M. van de Ven D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 81 (78%) | – |
| 16 Sandro Tonali M | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 59 (53%) | 3 |
| 20 Mohammed Hamad Alqahtani M | 7.0 | 89' | – | – | 2 | 29 (25%) | 3 |
| 33 Ben Davies D | 7.0 | 1' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 8 Conor Gallagher M | 6.9 | 39' | – | – | 2 | 14 (11%) | 1 |
| 21 D. Kulusevski M | 6.9 | 1' | – | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | 1 |
| 10 James Maddison M | 6.8 | 51' | – | – | – | 42 (36%) | 1 |
| 18 Mateus Fernandes M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 95 (88%) | 5 |
| 19 Dominic Solanke F | 6.6 | 25' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 22 Omar Marmoush F | 6.3 | 65' | – | – | 3 | 13 (11%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
João Pedro
5 gls
M. Rogers
5 gls
Pedro Neto
3 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Chelsea vs Tottenham
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug 2026 | Chelsea | 1 - 2 | Tottenham |
| 19 May 2026 | Chelsea | 2 - 1 | Tottenham |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Tottenham | 0 - 1 | Chelsea |
Chelsea — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | H Manchester United | W | 2 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | A Liverpool | D | 1 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Tottenham | L | 0 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | A Everton | W | 0 - 2 |
| 10 Oct | H Bournemouth | W | 5 - 1 |
Tottenham — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Leeds | L | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Crystal Palace | W | 2 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | A Chelsea | W | 0 - 2 |
| 19 Oct | H Coventry | W | 3 - 1 |
| 10 Oct | A Manchester United | D | 1 - 1 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |
Everton
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 |
Leeds
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |
Bournemouth
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Tottenham
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Newcastle
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |
Aston Villa
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |
Hull City
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |
Ipswich
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |
Fulham
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |
Coventry
|
10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Manchester United
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |
Crystal Palace
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 |
Sunderland
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 5 |
Tottenham
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: R. De Zerbi
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | A. Kinský | G |
| 14 | A. Gray | D |
| 6 | J. van Hecke | D |
| 37 | M. van de Ven | D |
| 3 | A. Robertson | D |
| 18 | Mateus Fernandes | M |
| 16 | S. Tonali | M |
| 20 | M. Kudus | M |
| 10 | J. Maddison | M |
| 11 | M. Tel | M |
| 22 | Omar Marmoush | F |
Substitutes
| 19 | D. Solanke | F |
| 68 | L. Williams-Barnett | M |
| 52 | Callum Latif Olusesi | M |
| 21 | D. Kulusevski | M |
| 8 | C. Gallagher | M |
| 33 | B. Davies | D |
| 23 | Pedro Porro | D |
| 5 | M. Senesi | D |
| 39 | M. Dúbravka | G |
Chelsea
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Xabi Alonso
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | M. Penders | G |
| 34 | Joshua Kofi Acheampong | D |
| 5 | M. Lacroix | D |
| 6 | L. Colwill | D |
| 7 | Pedro Neto | M |
| 25 | M. Caicedo | M |
| 14 | J. Henderson | M |
| 21 | J. Hato | M |
| 10 | C. Palmer | M |
| 23 | Geovany Tcherno Quenda | M |
| 17 | M. Rogers | F |
Substitutes
| 28 | T. Sharman-Lowe | G |
| 27 | M. Gusto | D |
| 2 | M. Palestra | D |
| 4 | V. Barco | M |
| 45 | R. Lavia | M |
| 32 | M. Nicoll-Jazuli | M |
| 41 | Estêvão | F |
| 18 | D. Welbeck | F |
| 3 | W. Fofana | D |