Brighton vs Crystal Palace Prediction
Brighton vs Crystal Palace prediction: Sportiko gives Brighton a 62% chance of winning, Crystal Palace 15% and the draw 23%. Last updated 18 Oct 2026, 14:55.
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Premium- Home/Draw & Over 1.5 71%
Match Report
Brighton produced a devastating opening spell to dismantle Crystal Palace 5–0 in a thoroughly one-sided Premier League fixture. The Seagulls struck three times inside the first ten minutes, with an own goal from Jaydee Canvot in the fourth minute setting the tone before Diego Gómez and Yasin Ayari added further goals in the seventh and tenth minutes respectively. Palace had no answer to Brighton's relentless early pressure, and the hosts went into the break with a commanding 3–0 lead.
The second half brought more of the same, with Charalampos Kostoulas extending the advantage four minutes after the restart. Jack Hinshelwood completed the scoring in the 84th minute to round off a dominant afternoon. Brighton's statistical superiority told its own story — 57% possession, 17 total shots to Palace's five, and a shots-on-goal tally of 9–1 underlined just how one-sided the contest was.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Brighton win as the most likely outcome at 62%, a call that proved well-founded. Palace, who finished with just 0.77 expected goals, will need to regroup quickly ahead of their next fixture.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Brighton
Match Stats
Brighton
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Charalampos Kostoulas F | 8.7 | 71' | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 (9%) | – |
| 26 Yasin Ayari M | 8.2 | 81' | 1 | – | 4 | 15 (13%) | 1 |
| 21 Olivier Boscagli D | 8.1 | 81' | – | 1 | – | 71 (62%) | – |
| 25 Diego Gómez M | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 36 (26%) | 1 |
| 44 Luka Vušković D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 79 (73%) | 1 |
| 5 Lewis Dunk D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 84 (77%) | 1 |
| 8 Jack Hinshelwood M | 7.6 | 19' | 1 | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 24 Ferdi Kadıoğlu D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 43 (37%) | – |
| 29 Maxim De Cuyper M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (27%) | 3 |
| 1 B. Verbruggen G | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (25%) | – |
| 3 Jaouen Hadjam D | 6.9 | 9' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | – |
| 35 Malick Yalcouyé M | 6.9 | 9' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | – |
| 13 Pascal Groß M | 6.6 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 33 (27%) | – |
| 10 Georginio Rutter F | 6.6 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 5 (1%) | – |
| 14 Chema Andrés M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (38%) | 5 |
Crystal Palace
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dwight McNeil F | 6.5 | 44' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 44 Walter Benítez G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (20%) | – |
| 14 Jean-Philippe Mateta F | 6.3 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 9 Eddie Nketiah F | 6.2 | 29' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | – |
| 22 Jørgen Strand Larsen F | 6.1 | 61' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 8 Jefferson Lerma M | 6.0 | 37' | – | – | 1 | 17 (15%) | 2 |
| 26 Chris Richards D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (48%) | 2 |
| 21 Honest Ahanor D | 5.9 | 53' | – | – | – | 36 (32%) | 1 |
| 10 Yéremy Pino M | 5.8 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 17 (13%) | – |
| 18 Daichi Kamada M | 5.8 | 81' | – | – | – | 23 (19%) | – |
| 23 Q. Timber M | 5.7 | 46' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 3 Tyrick Mitchell M | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (20%) | 2 |
| 25 Anan Khalaili M | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 36 (25%) | 3 |
| 19 Will Hughes M | 5.4 | 9' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 20 Adam Wharton M | 5.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (22%) | – |
| 6 Jaydee Canvot D | 5.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (49%) | 2 |
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At a glance
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Upgrade NowMatch summary
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
C. Kostoulas
3 gls
Y. Ayari
3 gls
J. Hinshelwood
3 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Brighton vs Crystal Palace
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb 2026 | Brighton | 0 - 1 | Crystal Palace |
| 09 Nov 2025 | Crystal Palace | 0 - 0 | Brighton |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Crystal Palace | 2 - 1 | Brighton |
Brighton — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Getafe | W | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A Manchester City | W | 0 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | A Manchester City | D | 2 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Liverpool | L | 2 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | A FK Jablonec | D | 0 - 0 |
Crystal Palace — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H 1899 Hoffenheim | D | 1 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A Tottenham | L | 2 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | A Fulham | W | 0 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Newcastle | L | 0 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | A Beşiktaş | D | 2 - 2 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |
Everton
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 |
Leeds
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |
Bournemouth
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Tottenham
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Newcastle
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |
Aston Villa
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |
Hull City
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |
Ipswich
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |
Fulham
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |
Coventry
|
10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Manchester United
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |
Crystal Palace
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 |
Sunderland
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 5 |
Brighton
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: F. Hürzeler
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Verbruggen | G |
| 24 | F. Kadıoğlu | D |
| 44 | L. Vušković | D |
| 5 | L. Dunk | D |
| 21 | O. Boscagli | D |
| 13 | P. Groß | M |
| 14 | José María Andrés Baixauli | M |
| 25 | D. Gómez | M |
| 26 | Y. Ayari | M |
| 29 | M. De Cuyper | M |
| 19 | C. Kostoulas | F |
Substitutes
| 35 | M. Yalcouyé | M |
| 33 | M. O'Riley | M |
| 15 | I. Osman | F |
| 10 | G. Rutter | F |
| 8 | J. Hinshelwood | M |
| 30 | M. Svoboda | D |
| 20 | Costinha | D |
| 3 | J. Hadjam | D |
| 23 | J. Steele | G |
Crystal Palace
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: P. Sage
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 44 | W. Benítez | G |
| 6 | J. Canvot | D |
| 26 | C. Richards | D |
| 21 | H. Ahanor | D |
| 25 | A. Khalaili | M |
| 20 | A. Wharton | M |
| 23 | Q. Timber | M |
| 3 | T. Mitchell | M |
| 18 | D. Kamada | M |
| 10 | Yeremy Pino | M |
| 22 | J. Strand Larsen | F |
Substitutes
| 9 | E. Nketiah | F |
| 7 | I. Sarr | F |
| 14 | J. Mateta | F |
| 24 | D. Osorio | M |
| 11 | D. McNeil | F |
| 19 | W. Hughes | M |
| 8 | J. Lerma | M |
| 30 | Óscar Mingueza | D |
| 31 | R. Matthews | G |