Everton vs Chelsea Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 7

17 Oct 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Chelsea

Away

AI call Everton or draw

34%

33%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Everton vs Chelsea prediction: Sportiko gives Everton a 34% chance of winning, Chelsea 33% and the draw 33%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.3%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Everton

WWDDD

Chelsea

LDWLW

Last 3 meetings Everton · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Everton will face Chelsea, both teams looking to secure crucial points. Everton's recent form has been inconsistent, with their defense conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game this season. In contrast, Chelsea has showcased a more robust offensive output, averaging 2 goals per game, thanks to their dynamic attacking players. The matchup will hinge on whether Everton can contain Chelsea's attack while finding a way to exploit defensive lapses. This encounter could be pivotal for both teams as they aim to ascend the league table.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Chelsea goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14	11	7	2	1
1	11	15	7	3	1
2	7	7	4	1
3	2	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Everton goals · most likely 1–1 (15.3%)

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Players in form

Everton

No scorer data.

Chelsea

João Pedro 3 gls

M. Rogers 3 gls

C. Palmer 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

34%

Draw

33%

Away Win

33%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

34%

Draw

33%

Away Win

33%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

50% Home (No Draw) 50% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

14% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

34% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals 33% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.7%	10.9%	6.7%	2.4%	0.6%
1	11.0%	15.3%	7.2%	2.5%	0.7%
2	6.8%	7.2%	3.8%	1.4%	0.4%
3	2.4%	2.6%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.7%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

76%

1.5

24%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

42%

34%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Everton	Draw	Chelsea
Everton	20.3%	4.9%	1.9%
Draw	13.2%	22.7%	15.5%
Chelsea	1.2%	3.5%	16.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Everton vs Chelsea

1 Everton Wins

0 Draws

2 Chelsea Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Mar 2026	Everton	3 - 0	Chelsea
13 Dec 2025	Chelsea	2 - 0	Everton
26 Apr 2025	Chelsea	1 - 0	Everton

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Everton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Ipswich	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	H Wolves	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	A Tottenham	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Manchester United	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Bournemouth	D	1 - 1

Chelsea — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Brentford	L	3 - 0
12 Sep	H Hull City	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	H Leeds	W	6 - 3
06 Sep	A Arsenal	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H Brighton	W	4 - 3

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.