Aston Villa vs Brentford Prediction
FT
Villa Park, Birmingham
AI call
Brentford or draw
34%
28%
38%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Aston Villa vs Brentford prediction: Sportiko gives Aston Villa a 34% chance of winning, Brentford 38% and the draw 28%. Last updated 10 Oct 2026, 16:02.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
10'
Yehor Yarmolyuk
Nicolas Jackson
12'
⚽
1–1
▮
35'
Igor Thiago
Yellow Card
Matteo Ruggeri
⇄ Aaron Wan-Bissaka
45'
⇄
⇄
45'
Jannik Schuster
⇄ Aaron Hickey
Emiliano Buendía
Yellow Card
45+3'
▮
HT 1–1
⇄
52'
Kevin Schade
⇄ Mamadou Sangare
Emiliano Buendía
⇄ Ibrahim Mbaye
64'
⇄
⇄
67'
Keane Lewis-Potter
⇄ Dango Ouattara
⇄
67'
Yehor Yarmolyuk
⇄ Mathias Jensen
Matty Cash
Yellow Card
72'
▮
▮
75'
Vitaly Janelt
Yellow Card
John McGinn
assist: Johan Manzambi
77'
⚽
2–1
⚽
2–2
79'
Kristoffer Ajer
assist: Jaidon Anthony
▮
82'
Michael Kayode
Yellow Card
▮
84'
Kristoffer Ajer
Yellow Card
⇄
85'
Jaidon Anthony
⇄ Callum Wilson
João Gomes
⇄ Ross Barkley
86'
⇄
Johan Manzambi
⇄ Alysson
86'
⇄
▮
90+5'
Callum Wilson
Yellow Card
▮
90+5'
Yellow Card
FT 2–2
Aston Villa
Match Stats
Brentford
52%
Ball Possession
48%
1.84
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
20
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Goal
4
6
Shots off Goal
7
7
Blocked Shots
3
15
Shots insidebox
12
5
Shots outsidebox
2
2
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
24
2
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
407
Total passes
358
321
Passes accurate
284
23
Free Kicks
7
Aston Villa
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nicolas Jackson F | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 18 (13%) | 2 |
| 44 Johan Manzambi M | 7.7 | 86' | – | 1 | 7 | 21 (20%) | – |
| 7 John McGinn M | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 30 (23%) | 1 |
| 19 Ibrahim Mbaye F | 6.9 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 3 Victor Lindelöf D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (41%) | – |
| 35 João Gomes M | 6.5 | 86' | – | – | – | 40 (36%) | 1 |
| 8 Boubacar Kamara M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 43 (36%) | 1 |
| 47 Alysson F | 6.4 | 4' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 13 Matteo Ruggeri D | 6.3 | 46' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | – |
| 29 Aaron Wan-Bissaka D | 6.2 | 44' | – | – | – | 18 (10%) | 2 |
| 5 Tyrone Mings D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (36%) | – |
| 1 Zion Suzuki G | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (26%) | – |
| 6 Ross Barkley M | 6.1 | 4' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | – |
| 10 Emiliano Buendía M | 6.0 | 64' | – | – | 4 | 28 (17%) | 3 |
| 2 Matty Cash D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (35%) | 5 |
Brentford
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Kristoffer Ajer D | 7.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 39 (35%) | 2 |
| 6 Yehor Yarmolyuk M | 7.2 | 67' | 1 | – | 1 | 33 (24%) | 2 |
| 19 Jaidon Anthony M | 6.9 | 85' | – | 1 | 2 | 15 (11%) | 1 |
| 1 Caoimhin Kelleher G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (19%) | – |
| 11 Dango Ouattara F | 6.6 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 9 (5%) | 3 |
| 2 Aaron Hickey D | 6.5 | 44' | – | – | – | 21 (20%) | – |
| 9 Igor Thiago F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 18 (13%) | 1 |
| 7 Kevin Schade M | 6.4 | 52' | – | – | 4 | 9 (7%) | 2 |
| 44 Jannik Schuster D | 6.4 | 46' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | – |
| 25 El Hadji Malick Diouf D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 35 (26%) | 4 |
| 13 Callum Wilson F | 6.3 | 5' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 23 Keane Lewis-Potter M | 6.2 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 15 (12%) | – |
| 18 Mamadou Sangare M | 6.1 | 38' | – | – | – | 25 (20%) | 2 |
| 8 Mathias Jensen M | 6.1 | 23' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | – |
| 27 Vitaly Janelt M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (35%) | 1 |
| 33 Michael Kayode D | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (26%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Low (38%)
At a glance
Our lean
Brentford or draw
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Aston Villa
LDLWW
Brentford
WLDLD
Last 3 meetings
Aston Villa · 1W 0D 2L
Match summary
Aston Villa will face Brentford in what promises to be an intriguing Premier League encounter. Villa has shown a strong attacking presence, ranking in the top half for goals scored, while Brentford has been solid defensively, boasting one of the better defensive records in the league. Key players to watch include Villa's forwards, who excel in creating chances, and Brentford's organized backline. The match will likely hinge on Villa's ability to break through Brentford's defense and capitalize on goal-scoring opportunities.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
34%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
38%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Aston Villa
N. Jackson
5 gls
Brentford
K. Schade
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Aston Villa vs Brentford
1
Aston Villa Wins
0
Draws
2
Brentford Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb 2026 | Aston Villa | 0 - 1 | Brentford |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Brentford | 1 - 0 | Aston Villa |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Brentford | 0 - 1 | Aston Villa |
Aston Villa — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | A Barcelona | L | 3 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Fulham | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | A Bournemouth | L | 3 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Manchester City | W | 2 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | H Viking | W | 3 - 1 |
Brentford — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | H Nottingham Forest | W | 2 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | A Sunderland | L | 3 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Hull City | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | H Liverpool | L | 1 - 2 |
| 10 Oct | A Aston Villa | D | 2 - 2 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |
Everton
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 |
Leeds
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |
Bournemouth
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Tottenham
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Newcastle
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |
Aston Villa
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |
Hull City
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |
Ipswich
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |
Fulham
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |
Coventry
|
10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Manchester United
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |
Crystal Palace
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 |
Sunderland
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 5 |
Brentford
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Keith Andrews
1
Kelleher
25
Diouf
20
Ajer
44
Schuster
33
Kayode
27
Janelt
6
Yarmolyuk
7
Schade
23
Lewis-Potter
19
Anthony
9
Thiago
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Kelleher | G |
| 33 | M. Kayode | D |
| 44 | Jannik Schuster | D |
| 20 | K. Ajer | D |
| 25 | E. Diouf | D |
| 6 | Y. Yarmolyuk | M |
| 27 | V. Janelt | M |
| 19 | J. Anthony | M |
| 23 | K. Lewis-Potter | M |
| 7 | K. Schade | M |
| 9 | Thiago | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | C. Wilson | F |
| 12 | H. Valdimarsson | G |
| 18 | M. Sangaré | M |
| 11 | D. Ouattara | F |
| 8 | M. Jensen | M |
| 2 | A. Hickey | D |
| 14 | Fábio Carvalho | M |
| 48 | B. Fredrick | D |
| 4 | S. van den Berg | D |
Aston Villa
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Unai Emery
1
Suzuki
13
Ruggeri
5
Mings
3
Lindelöf
2
Cash
35
Gomes
8
Kamara
44
Manzambi
10
Buendía
7
McGinn
11
Jackson
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Z. Suzuki | G |
| 2 | M. Cash | D |
| 3 | V. Lindelöf | D |
| 5 | T. Mings | D |
| 13 | M. Ruggeri | D |
| 8 | B. Kamara | M |
| 35 | João Gomes | M |
| 7 | J. McGinn | M |
| 10 | E. Buendía | M |
| 44 | J. Manzambi | M |
| 11 | N. Jackson | F |
Substitutes
| 18 | T. Abraham | F |
| 6 | R. Barkley | M |
| 40 | M. Bizot | G |
| 26 | L. Bogarde | M |
| 14 | Pau Torres | D |
| 17 | A. Garnacho | F |
| 19 | I. Mbaye | F |
| 29 | A. Wan-Bissaka | D |
| 47 | Alysson Edward | F |