Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 2

31 Aug 2026, 19:00

Post on X

Arsenal

Away

Villa Park, Birmingham

AI call Arsenal or draw

28%

30%

41%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Aston Villa vs Arsenal prediction: Sportiko gives Aston Villa a 28% chance of winning, Arsenal 41% and the draw 30%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:42.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Aston Villa

LLWWD

Arsenal

LWWWW

Last 3 meetings Aston Villa · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Aston Villa faces Arsenal in a Premier League clash on August 31, 2026. Both teams have shown strong attacking prowess, with Villa averaging 1.8 goals per game and Arsenal slightly higher at 2.1. Defensively, Villa has a solid record with only 1.2 goals conceded per match, while Arsenal has struggled at times, allowing 1.4 goals. The key battle will be in midfield, where Villa's ball control will be tested against Arsenal's dynamic playmakers. This match could be pivotal for each team's aspirations, with Villa looking to solidify a top-half finish and Arsenal striving for Champions League qualification.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Arsenal goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	10	8	4	1
1	8	14	9	4	1
2	5	7	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Aston Villa goals · most likely 1–1 (14.5%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Draw

30%

Home Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Draw

30%

Home Win

28%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

59% Away (No Draw) 41% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 28% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	10.0%	8.0%	3.6%	1.3%
1	7.7%	14.5%	8.8%	4.0%	1.4%
2	5.1%	7.0%	4.8%	2.2%	0.8%
3	1.9%	2.6%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.5%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Aston Villa	Draw	Arsenal
Aston Villa	16.6%	4.4%	2.0%
Draw	11.3%	19.4%	15.5%
Arsenal	1.6%	4.4%	24.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Aston Villa vs Arsenal

1 Aston Villa Wins

1 Draws

1 Arsenal Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Dec 2025	Arsenal	4 - 1	Aston Villa
06 Dec 2025	Aston Villa	2 - 1	Arsenal
18 Jan 2025	Arsenal	2 - 2	Aston Villa

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	A Bayern München	L	2 - 1
25 Jul	A FC Porto	L	2 - 1
24 May	A Manchester City	W	1 - 2
15 May	H Liverpool	W	4 - 2
10 May	A Burnley	D	2 - 2

Arsenal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Aug	H Real Betis	L	1 - 3
01 Aug	A Girona	W	1 - 4
24 May	A Crystal Palace	W	1 - 2
18 May	H Burnley	W	1 - 0
10 May	A West Ham	W	0 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Hull City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Manchester United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Nottingham Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.