Manchester City vs Bournemouth Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 1

23 Aug 2026, 13:00

Post on X

Bournemouth

Away

Etihad Stadium, Manchester

AI call Difficult Bournemouth win or draw

19%

24%

58%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Manchester City vs Bournemouth prediction: Sportiko gives Manchester City a 19% chance of winning, Bournemouth 58% and the draw 24%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:43.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

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Manchester City

DLDWD

Bournemouth

WDDWW

Last 3 meetings Manchester City · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Manchester City enters the match against Bournemouth as one of the Premier League's strongest teams, boasting a high possession rate and a potent attacking lineup. Historically, City excels at controlling the midfield and creating scoring opportunities, making them a formidable opponent. Bournemouth, while displaying resilience and tactical adaptability, faces a significant challenge in breaking down City's defense. Recent form and head-to-head statistics favor City, suggesting they are likely to dominate the match. Bournemouth will need to exploit counter-attacking opportunities to secure any points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bournemouth goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	8	9	6	3	1
1	3	11	10	7	4	1
2	3	5	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	2	1	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Manchester City goals · most likely 1–1 (11.0%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

58%

Draw

24%

Home Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

39%

2.5

61%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

58%

Draw

24%

Home Win

19%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

76% Away (No Draw) 24% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

35% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

58% Away Scores More 24% Equal Goals 19% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

39%

2.5

61%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.6%	7.6%	9.2%	6.3%	3.3%
1	3.5%	11.0%	10.1%	7.0%	3.6%
2	2.6%	5.4%	5.6%	3.8%	2.0%
3	1.0%	2.0%	2.0%	1.4%	0.7%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

47%

1.5

53%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Manchester City	Draw	Bournemouth
Manchester City	8.9%	3.1%	2.1%
Draw	8.1%	13.6%	15.9%
Bournemouth	2.0%	5.0%	41.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Away Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Manchester City vs Bournemouth

2 Manchester City Wins

1 Draws

0 Bournemouth Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 May 2026	Bournemouth	1 - 1	Manchester City
02 Nov 2025	Manchester City	3 - 1	Bournemouth
20 May 2025	Manchester City	3 - 1	Bournemouth

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Manchester City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Inter	D	1 - 1
24 May	H Aston Villa	L	1 - 2
19 May	A Bournemouth	D	1 - 1
09 May	H Brentford	W	3 - 0
04 May	A Everton	D	3 - 3

Bournemouth — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Jul	H FC St. Pauli	W	4 - 1
24 May	A Nottingham Forest	D	1 - 1
19 May	H Manchester City	D	1 - 1
09 May	A Fulham	W	0 - 1
03 May	H Crystal Palace	W	3 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Hull City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Manchester United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Nottingham Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.