Thor Akureyri vs Breidablik Prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Regular Season - 17

Post on X

Breidablik

Away

AI call Difficult Breidablik win or draw

19%

22%

60%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Thor Akureyri vs Breidablik prediction: Sportiko gives Thor Akureyri a 19% chance of winning, Breidablik 60% and the draw 22%. Last updated 4 Aug 2026, 20:29.

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5 72%
Away 2H Over 0.5 72%
1st Half Over 0.5 70%

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Timeline

⇄ 13'

42' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 45+5'

Hlynur Freyr Karlsson Yellow Card

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

⇄ 67'

71' ⇄

74' ⇄

⇄ 77'

89' ⇄

Thorri Ingólfsson

89' ⇄

Yellow Card

90' ▮

FT 1–0

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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Breidablik win or draw

Most likely score

0:2 · 12.7%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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Thor Akureyri

LLWWL

Breidablik

LWWLL

Match summary

In the upcoming Úrvalsdeild clash, Thor Akureyri will face Breidablik, both teams are looking to solidify their positions in the league standings. Thor has shown inconsistency in their recent performances, with a mixed record of wins and losses. In contrast, Breidablik has been more stable, boasting a robust attack that ranks among the league's best in goals scored. Key players to watch will include Thor's top scorer, who will be essential for their offensive efforts, and Breidablik's midfield maestro, known for creating chances. This match will be crucial for both teams' aspirations, making it a potentially thrilling encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

19%

10%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

60%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Breidablik goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	10	13	9	5	2
1	3	10	10	7	4	2
2	2	3	4	3	2	1
3		1	1	1
4
5

↑ Thor Akureyri goals · most likely 0–2 (12.7%)

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Match Result

Away Win

60%

Draw

22%

Home Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

60%

Draw

22%

Home Win

19%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

86% Away (No Draw) 14% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

45% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

68% Away Scores More 21% Equal Goals 11% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.5%	10.5%	12.7%	9.3%	5.1%
1	2.9%	10.1%	9.8%	7.2%	3.9%
2	1.6%	3.5%	3.8%	2.8%	1.5%
3	0.4%	0.9%	1.0%	0.7%	0.4%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

34%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

48%

1.5

52%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Thor Akureyri	Draw	Breidablik
Thor Akureyri	5.8%	3.1%	2.9%
Draw	4.7%	13.1%	22.6%
Breidablik	0.8%	3.0%	44.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

37%

1.5

63%

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

Away Exact Goals

11%

25%

28%

20%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Thor Akureyri vs Breidablik

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Thor Akureyri — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A KA Akureyri	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	A Valur Reykjavik	L	4 - 1
06 Sep	H FH hafnarfjordur	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W	0 - 1
23 Aug	A Stjarnan	L	4 - 2

Breidablik — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A IA Akranes	L	4 - 1
15 Sep	A Fram Reykjavik	W	1 - 3
11 Sep	A Afturelding	W	1 - 2
06 Sep	A KA Akureyri	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H Stjarnan	L	0 - 2

Úrvalsdeild Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vikingur Reykjavik	22	16	5	1	67	21	+46	53
2	Fram Reykjavik	22	13	6	3	56	42	+14	45
3	KR Reykjavik	22	13	5	4	74	49	+25	44
4	Breidablik	22	8	6	8	43	41	+2	30
5	IA Akranes	22	8	6	8	39	41	-2	30
6	Keflavik	22	8	4	10	33	38	-5	28
7	Stjarnan	22	8	4	10	42	50	-8	28
8	Valur Reykjavik	22	8	3	11	39	45	-6	27
9	FH hafnarfjordur	22	4	9	9	27	39	-12	21
10	Thor Akureyri	22	6	3	13	22	50	-28	21
11	KA Akureyri	22	5	5	12	35	48	-13	20
12	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	22	4	6	12	32	45	-13	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.